{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.386Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Brazil exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "all_history_lane_count": 51,
    "current_lane_count": 30,
    "current_product_count": 30,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 55309509.90555991,
    "attention_trade_usd": 51861343.90224375,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 48988710.015960105,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5685063.399662382,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 51085852.337255426,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 55309509.90555991,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 30,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.921046331646331,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.247743214011587,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3542.740521175843,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.48911807256395,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 84.61122667813204,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 30137664.15779699,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 11266.818359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.002199999988079071,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6692652117471265,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.00127519605364,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9187951521302682,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.76569054905052,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 12939602.389982447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1476765.9846759276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.5872383078849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 14367117.890708694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 872.8770868094933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 3984206.728251171,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.26857356806558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.47359263988974
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 3774218.193336351,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.270523073660705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.722012092017486
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 4145344.65842533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.833201104913059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.920969381942854
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 5074039.275472396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.40331488865497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.3936864125699
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 7480406.918298751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.42508901061513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.612465458166533
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 14225253.189334348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.16683643955507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.83418694013226
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 29353778.017206047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.34977547685827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.51609549279624
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 48128256.122247934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.95932439782375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.99087354355248
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 45842038.042093456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.750261622501717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.70707706359101
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 40201332.48600037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.3046570288032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.051768949653917
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 42739776.2597627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.314327453315904,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.880676351759371
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 24297973.75318082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.14903848465834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.071396344886693
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 36372268.53628959,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.692599497224066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.281404736978011
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 41912234.01914613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.231289402059623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6496224135968509
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 74561679.51346199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.89955906287676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.31659322883004
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 43433992.81061314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.747566452320584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.092932887241531
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 48574154.102585144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.834420368361798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.040023919861225
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 36505455.5214457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.84592640697606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.184065361469205
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 48545478.557990424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.981434869294056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7782502124401374
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 84554887.9873599,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.1766493997049,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.294145287223508
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 39189163.24794181,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.652397654645114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.392796932476715
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 22884286.29758587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.605575620990734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.173136449593766
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 22857552.063003216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.11682354535773598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.340799098314214
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 28507789.146700915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.719344696771195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.064217893946935
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 45473293.64630067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.51182118085472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.720571433610438
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 70806581.45507875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.71025491539028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.77441362849848
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 80381961.22722222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.523290597242422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.2749037567131
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45412373.55015451,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.448157855703108,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "210111",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21327598.468130425,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3717370685168337,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "441239",
      "hs_description": "Plywood: consisting only of sheets of wood (not bamboo), each ply 6mm or thinner, not containing an outer ply of non-coniferous or tropical wood (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10714010.128507674,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7611594541279586,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "930690",
      "hs_description": "Ammunition: n.e.s. in chapter 93",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67210391.73601975,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.98032184450273,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2019581174401108,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92098108.53977531,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.76740846892231,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7622016377060015,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "441192",
      "hs_description": "Fibreboard (other than MDF) of a density exceeding 0.8g/cm3, of wood or other ligneous materials, bonded or not with resins or other organic substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11083199.582919382,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4650202074299612,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "721070",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45545007.1166091,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.514955635537966,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3908044814258398,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "930630",
      "hs_description": "Ammunition: cartridges and parts thereof n.e.s. in heading no. 9306",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13725287.430956861,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.17117780578633,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.860829992921618,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "080610",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12143062.833457971,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.492520852048253,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.130671730069624,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "720851",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58265661.3926354,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.2272317585083,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.40082735989059115,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "distance_km": 11240,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "importer_population": 1329.254,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6692652117471265,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.00127519605364,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9187951521302682
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-EST/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-EST/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-EST/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-EST/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-EST/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}