{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.608Z", "seo": { "title": "Brazil exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 480, "current_lane_count": 329, "current_product_count": 329, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4585766608.285278, "attention_trade_usd": 4029334748.586565, "critical_trade_usd": 265085428.26674956, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1995917967.3870113, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 449150133.328753, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3350095932.043405, "access_friction_trade_usd": 4585766608.285278, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 8, "high_attention_lane_count": 82, "high_volatility_lane_count": 230, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 154, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 143, "access_friction_lane_count": 329, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.23343858824972, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.049140043419406, "product_concentration_hhi": 834.170883646226, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.574696473132196, "top3_product_share_pct": 40.89604249852032, "top_product_hs6": "170114", "top_product_trade_usd": 714219230.2066811, "top_product_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170114", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 12129.4482421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285, "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 87.86611035342735, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.78061316482635, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285, "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 107948788.25454645, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 171687165.6222124, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.045014213007164, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 250555986.9999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.937517281480275, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 156883081.02226496, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.38601783150964, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.271185548265517 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 153400257.18508127, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.220012390430681, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.684521715841671 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 200415237.0775919, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.64856653779, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.172785761123357 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 330023201.9294341, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.66971610629773, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.13156222233415 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 583963799.2546308, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.9462861521762, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.14207478754485 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 520745166.19221765, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.825779464943752, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.477461229756216 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 702925510.0024856, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.98454822776436, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.663376304809617 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 738060219.3164037, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.998354564453611, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.11898438573262 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1055223917.0634848, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.97260432771193, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.543485641147658 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1237323308.8728044, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.256943181886196, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.741888202020963 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1285333255.3419104, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8801456438125825, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.311732875551037 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1761923096.51862, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.07908740367356, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.63534771870794 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1876179715.1843798, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.484767632112853, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.885110761445453 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2036631695.1564555, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.552058135662532, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.58220128914327 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2517379454.518571, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.605041623649292, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.629955257338633 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2602934933.524657, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.398592884061169, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.53117868937743 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2943798996.926694, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.09537395698439, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.065962709647128 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2628418993.51252, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.713367446059618, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4492026053117835 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2354551297.430805, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.419483984770938, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2877215744997024 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2857591471.6683407, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.36458758772566, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9858349979134373 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2029769282.4962611, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.969228015254888, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.254657493078243 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2669143626.8457384, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.49985320317581, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.268852899949738 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2112659632.0916324, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.848784200186753, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.57750955810579 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2379295350.071885, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.62085543407061, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.438825598142993 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3223341740.8553267, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.47463709194154, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.490647924484705 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3211932593.6590557, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3539540053002055, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.986175533786428 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4664010249.167701, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.20884586355618, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.151784586454305 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 728661901.9027084, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8569307154491939, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "170113", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 616412549.3160394, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.474628097866386, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0960422801357077, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 700706122.4271232, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9104085487027967, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "020712", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, not cut in pieces, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 483478905.4821304, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.605910855930077, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7155734041405697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 653653359.6276664, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3840046162313402, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80031157896.70036, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.161777616045125, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.897395868631849, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "470329", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 303129679.5605781, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.837393523371254, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.823872060665744, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5315003038.003537, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9632681703584551, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "260112", "hs_description": "Iron ores and concentrates: agglomerated (excluding roasted iron pyrites)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 486692141.141263, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.75206841199373, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7826149542367781, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "710813", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, semi-manufactured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2432369598.081136, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.93333160309878, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7740179657661069, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 12233, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }