{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.779Z", "seo": { "title": "Belarus exports to Zimbabwe: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Zimbabwe, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZWE", "country_name": "Zimbabwe" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1898985.7073128335, "attention_trade_usd": 1014492.6950549869, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1234813.3522256832, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1898985.7073128335, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1898985.7073128335, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1898985.7073128335, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 7, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6091843543615614, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 87.78648629428815, "product_concentration_hhi": 3747.7115605986864, "top1_product_share_pct": 53.422871543912166, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.38027604314742, "top_product_hs6": "870193", "top_product_trade_usd": 1014492.6950549869, "top_product_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870193", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 7985.53369140625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.49599568045977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.49599568045977, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 27, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26217.726717, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1737, "buyer_population_latest": 15092.171, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.484738370653396, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.7134131471191925, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7245315575260545, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 11.168, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.422871543912166, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26217.726717, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1737, "buyer_population_2024": 15092.171 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 505345.81025234144, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 532193.9419810863, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.312823651459264, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 942229.4956158691, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.04626477115275, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 20553.079474071936, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.8186758566035, "cagr_3y_pct": -65.61021895587389 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 902944.9336940822, "yoy_growth_pct": 4293.234283130968, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.26978772872716 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 918042.6745559904, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.672055548298057, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8630869948082487 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 360982.6792808515, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.67909594121645, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.93802856931384 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 355574.8136365557, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4980956025561487, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.70237403666912 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 28733.154405446505, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.91923800463113, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.4857618671964 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 211946.75275247413, "yoy_growth_pct": 637.6383036882947, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.2637577285494 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 36517.279047583885, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.77054091494799, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.17018166609695 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 68755.58228974498, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.28232574544488, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.754443651605555 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 95618.15504989274, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.06966076870002, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.304267868373717 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 94282.73498650003, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3966176848903888, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.18646139665236 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 91249.52039658792, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.217147434624612, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.8940575036925 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 92860.26922136043, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.765213469366067, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9708177281701147 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 528728.7367537823, "yoy_growth_pct": 469.38100781659165, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.66433214246769 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 296553.8771577387, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.91190481181704, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.12362729184103 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 6254415.510422531, "yoy_growth_pct": 2009.0317787670572, "cagr_3y_pct": 306.8668099908256 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 763571.9659942186, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.79147364415138, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.033112520316203 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 104006.60052499105, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.37893935909918, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.478896666540454 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 10018909.58275262, "yoy_growth_pct": 9532.955535687606, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.006837806714394 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 1639940.683812011, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.63154522688636, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.020698351775074 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 145301.62002490152, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.13982466200237, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.790058892303158 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 33509053.73455658, "yoy_growth_pct": 22961.720666854133, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.547986079953056 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 28582858.705392025, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.701086662093243, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.2741231285134 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 111870171.46226354, "yoy_growth_pct": 291.3890231041157, "cagr_3y_pct": 816.5326678882068 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 6492795.633454962, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.19613329577747, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.13403636339278 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 6343678.1891191, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.2966600637715384, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.45497070831071 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870193", "hs_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11967694.869493065, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.5428878340557, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2796533033359516, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16535603.998399982, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.35754737293539, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6551473318808322, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66938849.42818907, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.38072044271486, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8379816950080141, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29593255.78689555, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.02675365157259, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6999666152441284, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "871639", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27118358.41436607, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.08382795727424, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1034431941104765, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870422", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38831998.72083624, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.46588747100883, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.142353278641443, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "848340", "hs_description": "Gears and gearing: (not toothed wheels, chain sprockets and other transmission elements presented separately): ball or roller screws: gear boxes and other speed changers, including torque converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11459292.055659292, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.6977881040499, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39073775843861613, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "distance_km": 7954, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872, "importer_population": 15092.171, "importer_biz_entry_days": 27, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 76.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.49599568045977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.49599568045977, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ZWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ZWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ZWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ZWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ZWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }