# Belarus exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from Belarus to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-UKR/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, Belarus reported $769.3M in goods exports to Ukraine. The overall review level is High attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $769.3M | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 57.3% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 4 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 56 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.1 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 73.5% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 271019 | Not reported | $5.6B | 93.4% | High attention |
| 2 | 271012 | Not reported | $1.3B | 93.6% | Watch |
| 3 | 310420 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride | $60.8M | 78% | Watch |
| 4 | 870193 | Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW | $34.7M | 79% | Critical attention |
| 5 | 721420 | Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling | $20.2M | 71.4% | Critical attention |
| 6 | 870410 | Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods | $17.6M | 51.1% | Critical attention |
| 7 | 441192 | Fibreboard (other than MDF) of a density exceeding 0.8g/cm3, of wood or other ligneous materials, bonded or not with resins or other organic substances | $38.6M | 43.6% | High attention |
| 8 | 700529 | Glass: float glass and surface ground or polished glass, in sheets, non-wired, (other than coloured throughout the mass (body tinted), opacified, flashed or merely surface ground) | $53.0M | 65.3% | Watch |
| 9 | 070190 | Vegetables: potatoes (other than seed), fresh or chilled | $31.6M | 60.5% | High attention |
| 10 | 290110 | Acyclic hydrocarbons: saturated | $13.2M | 66.6% | Critical attention |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.