{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.983Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belarus exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BLR",
    "country_name": "Belarus"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 28,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 869469.3031510102,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 529746.142255174,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 510380.30672848516,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 187817.78650778485,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 869469.3031510102,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5806525026431832,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 70.82241643766594,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3255.353244228281,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 40.771110074077264,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 94.10035503633067,
    "top_product_hs6": "490199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 354492.2866480109,
    "top_product_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 5702.9638671875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085,
    "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085,
    "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1601610.1297496702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1829982.5778439525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.258928802478078,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2979843.9600738874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.83455351715303,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2204982.9773017936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.00340800237341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.24559196635959
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 301791.31747729797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.31321327266681,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.161370156847184
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4224019.251328052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1299.6490312037558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.33388751832405
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3636425.4996936163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.910773523337838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.14712315450391
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2134989.0806981944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.288799100158215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.96835309234386
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4173367.1861636247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.47487263020709,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.401323048912372
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3929760.6132755345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.837170850811857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6196353305443454
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3592439.8930725865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.583747291461208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.940917446995485
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 16109667.48559229,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 348.43248502659884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.867626858023755
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3406464.7071135687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.85453123001982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.651777905727805
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 12810516.107798187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 276.0648416831255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.77737325371754
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 21386228.95663365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.94275840779858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.90460216609561
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 52819486.0188166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 146.97896074114962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 149.36189654615487
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 47924900.8958109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.266627701114006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.2380571808341
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 12152804.104373587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.64198385971861,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.1713158935621
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 20460299.23266725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.3586689701016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.10362424095687
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 16119571.510446766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.215367736606726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.45529168858504
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 18069359.836651385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.095782601547445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.135853221274953
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3772848.09446152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.12018948890054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.08163108385813
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 18294234.959474728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 384.89190397912836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.3086328209705815
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 25181596.74391008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.64771688836508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.69836928158916
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 7945417.398441752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.44752348612178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.1786812640862
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5183026.779211213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.76709253528074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.32152402569473
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2937012.944311442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.33401949433077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.1414172416055
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 9207653.792573908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 213.50402491101605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.037430246984909
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 9121053.943386266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9405202578042893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.731479811755115
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4193443.6155276876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.02457170458486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.604301889553549
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "490199",
      "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23280654.65791137,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.73592674651204,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8108760323110538,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "381121",
      "hs_description": "Lubricating oil additives: containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31188634.726037156,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.38187362321439,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5323656455100431,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "840820",
      "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for the propulsion of vehicles of chapter 87",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10915384.862635031,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.72673871215862,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1522886284246674,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "950300",
      "hs_description": "Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27640497.33811983,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.095209005689874,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43797224697977605,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "902610",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: for measuring or checking the flow or level of liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18571978.256349117,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.4485306983657,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0546399749625461,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "distance_km": 5695,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "importer_population": 211400.711,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-NGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-NGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-NGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-NGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-NGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}