{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.223Z", "seo": { "title": "Belarus exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 38, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9421901.795773437, "attention_trade_usd": 8121665.06516761, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7311832.877349173, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 8492724.122762347, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 256960.09638621414, "access_friction_trade_usd": 9421901.795773437, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 10, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5710738802590885, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 75.19995708118559, "product_concentration_hhi": 4673.003381144797, "top1_product_share_pct": 63.804487427793845, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.06173927899367, "top_product_hs6": "310420", "top_product_trade_usd": 6011596.146743345, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 10424.03125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.022080107662834, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.022080107662834, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.19984840863975, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1008217.8367303745, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1160366.1705504472, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.090819491300223, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1694187.3061707043, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.00454142566277, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2097360.6936079944, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.797450610615467, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.655515213716075 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 82507.71502512203, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.06611703573085, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.571440419218575 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5386954.466492052, "yoy_growth_pct": 6429.031212234912, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.048509591157675 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3946788.3847929235, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.734328100548343, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.459232344987168 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3480636.2273256513, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.81092351602554, "cagr_3y_pct": 248.11389516341342 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3061479.056290282, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.042544628613172, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.16841037027683 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 7244509.645012325, "yoy_growth_pct": 136.63430360979802, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.439548046766824 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5744904.024097774, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.69989128866705, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.179291094053784 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 9151984.786698366, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.30613894173222, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.05488792989889 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 7083859.512650427, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.59756022599363, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7447132844508042 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 14490464.811450101, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.55607265464377, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.12352273118813 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 13466373.97685401, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.0673428901112505, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.739625479652462 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 23674671.056121234, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.8058338258928, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.510377465148345 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 21658990.145539436, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.51408201534708, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.33660583038725 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 20102230.7370225, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.187589994067856, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.287270536465101 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 12790824.06537373, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.37112103276813, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.553669186960487 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 6100301.757325089, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.30720299062415, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.45025022065682 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 8063073.958226146, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.17500181108599, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.2516802600167 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5389116.697088825, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.16300055029614, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.032501285820132 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4278845.090807208, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.602107333867536, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.149798891443973 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 19036010.4446339, "yoy_growth_pct": 344.88664676202944, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.155291704331134 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 21468289.43332521, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.777251807912027, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.52336572721604 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 24258193.534447506, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.995465287474328, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.31065593041002 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 19383495.130997114, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.095059413752903, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6048037831110964 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 125448824.64088684, "yoy_growth_pct": 547.1940369529918, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.11769681929688 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 10211796.411175363, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.8597910818153, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.054096923847958 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 10145382.308678476, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6503664959889521, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.410441619968676 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95620684.75375725, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.80311205972554, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.915342643537423, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "731210", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: stranded wire, ropes and cables, not electrically insulated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 136791360.86466187, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.6887341910881, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6309597567691242, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "310430", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium sulphate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54174702.31981101, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4909529973062814, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "845521", "hs_description": "Metal-rolling mills: hot or combination hot and cold rolling mills", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83321032.35884602, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.91412014439288, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0888043458098706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "730429", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26262881.141204882, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.74617678219387, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5122584511390813, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "851440", "hs_description": "Heating equipment: for the heat treatment of materials by induction or dielectric loss, industrial or laboratory, other than furnaces and ovens", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39714612.620051965, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.38501172088073, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2973184160261955, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "820220", "hs_description": "Tools, hand: band saw blades", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25581541.253970217, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.7728640665097, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.117279808015331, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "730439", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel (excluding cast iron): seamless, (excluding cold-drawn or cold-rolled), tubes, pipes and hollow profiles of circular cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38945187.94121435, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.52554023530281, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6904476150433447, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "730423", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron or stainless steel): seamless, drill pipe, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22240935.53985948, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.94989979241521, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2377144861992115, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "730451", "hs_description": "Steel, alloy (not stainless steel): seamless, cold-drawn or cold-rolled (cold-reduced), tubes, pipes and hollow profiles of circular cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21087211.43282481, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.74625214456395, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.20315805940521, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 10428, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.022080107662834, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.022080107662834, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }