{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.685Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belarus exports to Morocco: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Morocco, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BLR",
    "country_name": "Belarus"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MAR",
    "country_name": "Morocco"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "MAR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 43,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 22240110.247609235,
    "attention_trade_usd": 20500645.955499414,
    "critical_trade_usd": 20500645.955499414,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 20772259.49359096,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 21955792.256515455,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21906654.50149664,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3502966872513273,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 62.246933461644694,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8517.005658250353,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 92.17870652283835,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.96789546004186,
    "top_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 20500645.955499414,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3470.514404296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.71187449808429,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 29.71187449808429,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 132725.261467,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3554,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37344.788,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.493870310126513,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4337131700827195,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0122871045357362,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.041999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.788,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.17870652283835,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 92.17870652283835,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 132725.261467,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3554,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37344.788
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 15183184.999696396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 14734401.445691139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9557932279309806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 16126404.758162742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.447301389217099,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 19966982.259855796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.815460167890535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.559451530309104
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 24932087.14395021,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.86657632824616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.163169481000388
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 19513775.321112487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.732283348578296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.561726456725703
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 7164073.323763087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.28709741772992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.94152817549057
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 13323398.698487746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.97518613180995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.850572051760604
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 17986757.301458932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.00126888419614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.679606080789576
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 556066.0845284897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.90846951894223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -57.34314869050928
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 232798.51190077228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.134740028575685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -74.05093432421548
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 4211210.079871472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1708.9506008811827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.36633254274544
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 11477590.334694933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 172.54851021455653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 174.30987192034365
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 5933133.295003738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.30680376290467,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 194.28489311590775
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 153656398.05120742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2489.80188731982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 231.67640723332536
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 30876073.50669859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.90576774003979,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.07757690614127
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 7417526.972098678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.97645642834267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.727110108424706
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 296427466.2542298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3896.31126882657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.486597774328978
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 218687518.8118035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.225622215369526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.04395602210884
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 68072061.94648631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.87245220196253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 109.36460264906253
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 3022938.838368999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.55920776904712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.31445675290847
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 14024065.696246121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 363.92158247610087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.97328212571846
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 41117594.116131395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 193.1931082377738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.4683012915233
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 55128071.062898755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.07416520333499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 163.21732959027133
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 43140479.98869926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.744985527467797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.435472121495415
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 55999132.272136874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.80646549784789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.845449134317974
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 135284616.08716828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.58341495316523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.88341064446245
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 29242610.315119352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.38437868184702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.156346938394314
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 27739942.37309404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.138624513449763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.87602707309596
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 23816913.873742737,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.142165281339548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.95386211973443
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128842274.12549953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.06282964896369,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3835516917934374,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41285605.4949121,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.07177191039186,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8315657887021957,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "230320",
      "hs_description": "Beet-pulp, bagasse and other waste of sugar manufacture: whether or not in the form of pellets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92033904.0568247,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.31001509564946,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6340464304330103,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "848340",
      "hs_description": "Gears and gearing: (not toothed wheels, chain sprockets and other transmission elements presented separately): ball or roller screws: gear boxes and other speed changers, including torque converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39316060.57547974,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.140677662020146,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6751892310652083,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "902219",
      "hs_description": "Apparatus based on the use of x-rays, including radiography or radiotherapy apparatus: for other than medical, surgical, dental or veterinary uses",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10294185.17005711,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.14418761557732,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0623282392949758,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "530911",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: of flax, containing 85% or more flax, unbleached or bleached",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11476284.816810923,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.262770410919916,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7309401963116681,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "902214",
      "hs_description": "Apparatus based on the use of x-rays: including radiography or radiotherapy apparatus, for medical, surgical or veterinary uses, not dental uses, excluding computed tomography apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36012333.56885008,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.90154355749173,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8408957749343324,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "846694",
      "hs_description": "Machine-tools: parts and accessories, of the machines of heading no. 8462 or 8463",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23578849.51701861,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.502763739581585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.13961908609901016,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "940290",
      "hs_description": "Furniture: for medical, surgical, veterinary use (eg operating tables, examination tables, hospital beds with mechanical fittings) and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30218987.54653362,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.28130384045824,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7438494438691324,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "902620",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: for measuring or checking pressure",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15199053.646889947,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.82009422963003,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5137900510165063,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "MAR",
    "distance_km": 3561,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835,
    "importer_population": 37344.788,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.71187449808429,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 29.71187449808429,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MAR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MAR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MAR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MAR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-MAR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}