{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.188Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belarus exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BLR",
    "country_name": "Belarus"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 19402226.54397206,
    "attention_trade_usd": 19005931.061412334,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 149317.61681649077,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19402226.54397206,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19402226.54397206,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8996631800387427,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 66.9466905755145,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9597.285593705674,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 97.95747420193457,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.69246232564018,
    "top_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 19005931.061412334,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7005.93505859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.732215566283527,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.732215566283527,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815,
    "buyer_population_latest": 22156,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 97.95747420193457,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815,
    "buyer_population_2024": 22156
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 232485.05473001336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 490522.9287298844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 110.99116642122753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 707566.1546837634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.247315108362216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 56550.76979560088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.00770565108849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.576541413187506
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 769128.6825624118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1260.067573513814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.17514725385265
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 583412.0167926301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.14637107942097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.2288073394871635
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2014223.4085083187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 245.24887224327796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 229.0205615447246
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2098325.3819985767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.1754044330435836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.73052008042362
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2224221.105797164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.999818945080704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.21912313114032
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 5902623.322639224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 165.37934143573892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.102035155067696
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3760919.9593537934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.2839240490077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.47132038121329
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 11413551.09644867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 203.4776389766551,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.48352135410978
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 16982010.198313378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.78813836998843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.226768489711986
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 56950258.29398852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 235.35640144442215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 147.40047879435082
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 7421980.472995481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.9676087601188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.363744516550302
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 15359393.850916915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.94468150113478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2921652232387855
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 38659120.37906893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 151.6969143073383,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.114190621823317
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 35816559.87376377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.352884590835651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.9875414572839
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 24771389.670766216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.838166038074267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.271396824620044
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 23572542.207251098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.839645572771111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.20215452368866
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 25401383.248720136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.758353025268838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.821978621936712
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 19562680.978902612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.985765037467832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.567223089838848
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 18397699.978617724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.9551193496497845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.929810555983341
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 27592964.40659342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.98051081745363,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.796974132396479
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 28423888.158637196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.01136093896901,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.262211622882901
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 26431553.559640437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.00936686732404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.837395343306524
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 62320978.78065989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.7825038170313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.20346408319712
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 14676674.798229387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.44986473995495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.774075851803996
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 18122434.603340756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.477796248010275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.821112156686153
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 19744959.33152379,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.953127787167926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.827797397859538
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49661418.79690318,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.58654119828573,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.901678367553952,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "110710",
      "hs_description": "Malt: not roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11874334.68924569,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.91544079856583,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6284128935973532,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "310490",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, n.e.c. in heading no. 3104",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13688760.642464977,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 99.21544294225136,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0704376313303778,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "280300",
      "hs_description": "Carbon: carbon blacks and other forms of carbon n.e.s.",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54410253.16865273,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.34063784928555,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6819190591992464,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "distance_km": 6991,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "importer_population": 22156,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.732215566283527,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.732215566283527,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-LKA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-LKA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-LKA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-LKA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-LKA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}