{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.193Z", "seo": { "title": "Belarus exports to Kyrgyzstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Kyrgyzstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "all_history_lane_count": 100, "current_lane_count": 72, "current_product_count": 72, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 34041972.540634245, "attention_trade_usd": 17598057.307967372, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 17473573.20931063, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12687574.701838259, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 27857619.30732243, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 7, "high_volatility_lane_count": 46, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 29, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 52, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1496818883040014, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.023661965136455, "product_concentration_hhi": 660.1695220218593, "top1_product_share_pct": 13.737152911760726, "top3_product_share_pct": 34.651543851012704, "top_product_hs6": "870193", "top_product_trade_usd": 4676397.822086523, "top_product_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870193", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 3612.087646484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9119999408721924, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3349345851226053, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019158, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.417894875019158, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8543.423503, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1276, "buyer_population_latest": 6694.2, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.276519998542934, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.221783044836409, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8474231373167171, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.829999999999995, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -9.092, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 51.69517508705298, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8543.423503, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1276, "buyer_population_2024": 6694.2 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 5270523.807853132, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 6575124.587595796, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.75277272818306, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 9974188.944229357, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.695816730925756, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 8255336.2616680125, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.233007036184123, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.134252647862613 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 5346321.2209240785, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.237995746476834, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.663748709230887 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 3815616.3409985187, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.63099347519166, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.406839788134285 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 6486469.03028229, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.99793612857911, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.723482989595576 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 3358673.5927911713, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.22030943012145, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.354558927989636 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 5033428.003867207, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.8635656251508, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.672999236881807 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 4060950.348477096, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.320384728716732, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.452673121347804 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 7314395.533671964, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.11536477945238, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.619461828693193 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 18140684.440465227, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.01344631903248, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.31922050869362 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 23124151.21729579, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.471216938839802, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.57173039593349 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 38585734.09690547, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.86335309918377, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.08022600770774 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 66354589.234863095, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.96663686174278, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.07745586670902 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 61240184.755235024, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.707687649946193, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.35352558785745 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 146007662.80720145, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.41806387548527, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.82948211165426 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 145452840.89065418, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.37999506729992083, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.90237190757803 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 104644963.5519988, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.05574445213701, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.553036995209382 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 84267958.81925364, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.47251357454932, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.741431090327584 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 50013509.36635672, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.649435364121366, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.942434672693096 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 41769466.52319352, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.483632017850024, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.37134522400769 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 121797141.7832939, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.5937212548861, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.064137512872986 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 100292864.87665525, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.655814078872123, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.10362447746595 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 55546879.91068908, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.61532235717549, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.968148656758213 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 48047256.13935607, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.501431193599467, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.659505906371862 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 67754361.45087028, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.01608894034614, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.254994305452716 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 98781244.48266211, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.79318934957406, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.154144307673416 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 94405303.00318076, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.42993151422526, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.249480464835415 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 71356687.60176098, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.414534637575613, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7417355463103634 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870193", "hs_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11431619.82514014, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.66491835065899, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9908660938997508, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139647811.6383148, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.5600857344919312, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0552101438107386, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "441011", "hs_description": "Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14068330.637380486, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9371987911840648, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26087976.112622436, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.56536726027474, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4375512642121837, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60448681.51659924, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.966582495062205, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.754649413696542, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "020712", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, not cut in pieces, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12115969.388868714, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.106825607898005, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7359741132825439, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 713147944.7151197, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.93986335612868, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5908878069436678, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 297097873.5562152, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.31582041483622, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.915323556459154, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870590", "hs_description": "Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other special purpose vehicles n.e.s. in heading no. 8705", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33372762.525630526, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.053350708393418, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "481420", "hs_description": "Wallpaper and similar wall coverings: coated or covered on the face side, with a grained, embossed, coloured, design-printed or otherwise decorated layer of plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14189165.946159296, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.04825889476096, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1833878691658373, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "distance_km": 3615, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "importer_population": 6694.2, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3349345851226053, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019158, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.417894875019158 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KGZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KGZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KGZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KGZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KGZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }