{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.989Z", "seo": { "title": "Belarus exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 803394.9433430354, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 56845.881095576806, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 803394.9433430354, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 746549.0622474586, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7720554670279519, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 62.23873665120759, "product_concentration_hhi": 4757.637816195953, "top1_product_share_pct": 65.42510672646904, "top3_product_share_pct": 92.26071425694373, "top_product_hs6": "720711", "top_product_trade_usd": 525621.9991172364, "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 6196.77685546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 5944.243085177493, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 27937.095588258402, "yoy_growth_pct": 369.98575239835117, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 38302.25090676124, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.10176416069242, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 29170.24879529654, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.84194634851784, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.93435625946016 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 105865.9478852902, "yoy_growth_pct": 262.92439131461987, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.904390428098424 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 45443.440165397595, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.07454467357407, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.864162963401287 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 58822.66861522771, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.441495628708104, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.338251880779097 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 128830.9873961169, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.01588355133859, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.7631424655651085 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 265045.6044660653, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.73125287872634, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.00440581707862 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3338.7366027596836, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.7403161771026, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.569224785567954 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 861047.4091153007, "yoy_growth_pct": 25689.61779745035, "cagr_3y_pct": 88.36588178941591 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 104952.63836833971, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.81104997735547, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.56705967400612 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 121845.87025538017, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.096052609704103, "cagr_3y_pct": 231.69802470843294 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 396005.7991715034, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.00551585499267, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.810511952352307 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1342868.984472467, "yoy_growth_pct": 239.10336345627434, "cagr_3y_pct": 133.89095521063462 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2616237.715909854, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.82449488083287, "cagr_3y_pct": 177.94282201077647 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 8224938.0856600115, "yoy_growth_pct": 214.38038048463838, "cagr_3y_pct": 174.88035130444902 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2235202.4472919265, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.82408178623314, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.511657901886736 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1582555.5634148119, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.198558039690457, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.427872679685162 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1719525.1418788463, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.654961735971135, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.64937487980256 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2783371.255074911, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.86859891060672, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.584925759938366 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2572368.7083810605, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.5808265357749205, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.577643104954866 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2580753.8180932933, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.32596842299135176, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.493109230564194 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2102297.036969887, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.539419675329537, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.930214542139925 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2441590.8080398077, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.139192754557484, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.724207553846402 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2077945.9647008593, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.8937668892559, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.968671285327799 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1480881.8780615672, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.733378864606106, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.023473662733174 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "720711", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52037909.142699525, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.158810823883925, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6692522612504769, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "721391", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35552568.34370014, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.14696000076084, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9658868785701442, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "490199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13660895.517462764, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.54822604353129, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1378090352668655, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "480100", "hs_description": "Newsprint: made of fibres obtained essentially by a chemi-mechanical process or of a weight, per m2, of more than 57g but not more than 65g, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18053568.477302447, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.5175318382408, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8975226493784983, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "550130", "hs_description": "Fibres: synthetic filament tow, acrylic or modacrylic", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15082244.240714809, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.6922021469396, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5717744905075449, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 6176, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }