{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.629Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belarus exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BLR",
    "country_name": "Belarus"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 37,
    "current_lane_count": 14,
    "current_product_count": 14,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 104264652.1657568,
    "attention_trade_usd": 100155450.41566555,
    "critical_trade_usd": 93147610.29102899,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2729352.597191582,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 93437632.75211877,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 100457044.16166808,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 104264652.1657568,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 14,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0074636418144443,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.088177058435406,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8017.335650880744,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 89.33766943656582,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.09270458718248,
    "top_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 93147610.29102899,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 9869.42578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371648,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371648,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292,
    "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.05887358300627,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 89.33766943656582,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292,
    "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1015786.3350091333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1658583.8806825625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.28078292839503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2403573.016221657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.91718171242003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 958573.6573343708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.118804343992046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9138455627842443
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3299387.6474136533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 244.1976130022898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.76659450020957
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2861424.4339001966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.27407568664356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.9843288207522605
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 6846120.672958071,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 139.25568649830217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.57785866674992
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3879081.497168782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.33898447786623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.543587796350069
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 7570159.18425263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.15339365202426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.30596467698517
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 8513194.759299666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.457275363624177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.534876256638978
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 17124277.44997796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.14983780057068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.04428964039907
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 27739188.63854783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.98749827300616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.16871315273364
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 30730717.632395368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.784486283388816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.40047734845452
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 107978364.10572594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 251.369484427199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.74590861022119
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 16112549.158175385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.07798363901962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.56335479314539
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 121832072.45148587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 656.1315795252002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.269164572112416
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 153542464.87671396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.027951250566893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.451155278400417
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 87308461.7822114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.13725401483217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.64293833357607
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 110834711.31455165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.94612761707549,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.104251739664088
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 178273821.27670604,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.84656075907531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.104107439608208
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 187098763.3031485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.9502175716225505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.925312678496784
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 158379516.0893887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.349779285941711,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.635270340890425
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 171468863.59728032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.26454571341413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2889211147630641
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 211158013.58861986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.14656384762386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.11473953642687
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 183042562.80728576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.314886943437966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.942408023976985
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 141673271.55037272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.600913482875683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.16441819435879
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 474167330.60614014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 234.69074682696748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.95075907071316
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 120277118.40826444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.6340351507323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.061867094484825
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 116771588.27206919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9145444973965984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.240254142116419
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 105878900.88195279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.328200079575211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.332057667806886
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 868631349.0327282,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.981662840648234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9573347304142258,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "040210",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content not exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 536666130.11473256,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.0772485344141,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8224710948975644,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "040410",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: whey, whether or not concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 194137750.94135886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6533057726045617,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "900580",
      "hs_description": "Monoculars: other optical telescopes and astronomical instruments, excluding instruments for radio-astronomy",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75137611.8012569,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.7302294607772186,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "901580",
      "hs_description": "Surveying equipment: articles n.e.c. in heading no. 9015, including hydrographic, oceanographic, hydrological, meteorological or geophysical instruments and appliances (excluding compasses)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79464593.68642831,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9784363898715899,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "903010",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: for measuring or detecting ionising radiations",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16003437.9169036,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.54650364179264,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5481861606971392,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "901390",
      "hs_description": "Optical appliances and instruments: parts and accessories for articles of heading no. 9013",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12617164.430266066,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9974632786723854,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "900410",
      "hs_description": "Sunglasses: corrective, protective or other",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32159584.95899791,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8150402532774548,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "870422",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32818248.5971449,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.30392890682184,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3570489064359126,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "940290",
      "hs_description": "Furniture: for medical, surgical, veterinary use (eg operating tables, examination tables, hospital beds with mechanical fittings) and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26550536.93957411,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.42245902873266,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7088481288475305,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BLR",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "distance_km": 9864,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "importer_population": 276361.786,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371648,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371648,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-IDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-IDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-IDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-IDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-IDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}