{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.740Z", "seo": { "title": "Belarus exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "all_history_lane_count": 56, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3145241.061092559, "attention_trade_usd": 2454291.0604566066, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2714664.813525181, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3145241.061092559, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2684959.5227896147, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0101333690940892, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 92.7037987090146, "product_concentration_hhi": 6164.599745026139, "top1_product_share_pct": 78.03189049058334, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.68813083992872, "top_product_hs6": "310420", "top_product_trade_usd": 2454291.0604566066, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1217.07958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03839999809861183, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399, "buyer_population_latest": 3899, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 78.03189049058334, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399, "buyer_population_2024": 3899 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 15386943.871328665, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 15605860.256417714, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.422741168874797, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 13150839.02276109, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.731405980308121, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 13177864.165055413, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.20550127826481912, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.034858646575058 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 13222459.428259045, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.33841040281692436, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.374502363241874 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 16074811.82387648, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.572026074978055, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.921279037132333 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 14519589.158972895, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.674904328233303, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.284804965070265 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 12375331.28160574, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.768034094422266, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1828818850286202 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 17409446.901563648, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.678633205079876, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.694304672943715 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 22720402.352529287, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.50616990301185, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.096883939773534 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 22871599.3053079, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6654677607933257, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.719402872168516 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 25365583.815654237, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.904285603532538, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.366993578813013 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 34656003.14788069, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.626081227797, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.112058106914962 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 85285649.06033826, "yoy_growth_pct": 146.09199363358704, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.06953158723618 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 8544548.283456521, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.98125900711457, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.4204821096411 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 39450499.77354167, "yoy_growth_pct": 361.703749160427, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.413826458209469 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 37217480.34039847, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.660307083462657, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.14975238565702 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 40742388.89947087, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.471110152629603, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.3135682887795 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 22158372.287010778, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.613468219340106, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.492179492058114 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 5274258.043757432, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.1974481905009, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.86394868775984 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 4361943.52020871, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.29749504062529, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.51630398881062 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 4663763.681622511, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.919396365759445, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.516082797415834 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 7340895.027328702, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.40280872839647, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.650981868153544 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 12551704.076252753, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.9832933113093, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.23535178850544 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 13050875.54124094, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9769218741588785, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.91840015312857 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 5464050.070789853, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.13269344632563, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.373497699747658 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 20724942.629951935, "yoy_growth_pct": 279.29635273192235, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.194394954176275 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 6427798.04918026, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.98520703313923, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.027808166396046 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 5488736.89794364, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.609375466554653, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1503752780279699 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 4257657.68954852, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.429189653020988, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.994503612428545 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14632243.5320118, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.02468193555114, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0174907670275193, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "441233", "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21685874.489803992, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.44105593267551, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9866660971994513, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "441011", "hs_description": "Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53050307.325567104, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.89975094573886, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0116717797096002, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "440712", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91602289.31416723, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.01144685009439, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2488296736808744, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "220710", "hs_description": "Undenatured ethyl alcohol: of an alcoholic strength by volume of 80% vol. or higher", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12260430.686906368, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.11851210755222, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9967074329258663, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "680610", "hs_description": "Slag wool, rock wool and similar mineral wools (including intermixtures thereof), in bulk, sheets or rolls", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16933037.434841648, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.86604668496754, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6741957031792473, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "854460", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42060004.163627416, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.2587703363143, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6776384678794797, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "441899", "hs_description": "Wood: builders' joinery and carpentry of wood n.e.c. in heading no. 4418, other than of bamboo or cellular wood panels", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18046654.536136866, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.91462247955872, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7584084687442659, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "870194", "hs_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 75kW but not exceeding 130kW", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23429216.780600104, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.76362250905308, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1931170914050715, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "721499", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, n.e.c. in heading no. 7214, other than of rectangular cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10907849.228020571, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.80044744122475, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4083121785834334, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "distance_km": 1223, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "importer_population": 3899, "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-HRV/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-HRV/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-HRV/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-HRV/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-HRV/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }