{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.252Z", "seo": { "title": "Belarus exports to Ecuador: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belarus to Ecuador, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "all_history_lane_count": 13, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5905467.029118042, "attention_trade_usd": 4064263.929278269, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 39575.46856105398, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5905467.029118042, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4930176.144829993, "access_friction_trade_usd": 5905467.029118042, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8445298590698291, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 72.90992626952318, "product_concentration_hhi": 5202.986010977211, "top1_product_share_pct": 68.8220577515484, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.3298503172413, "top_product_hs6": "310420", "top_product_trade_usd": 4064263.929278269, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 11079.689453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.86976346398467, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 12.86976346398467, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5935, "buyer_population_latest": 17888.474, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.990587628199348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0708328763464845, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9010945888597854, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.951999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.912, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 68.8220577515484, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5935, "buyer_population_2024": 17888.474 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2144626.469868254, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2104943.859905502, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8503273423268851, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2086215.0598011476, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8897529507126634, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2649274.7443737956, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.98953216387563, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.298037605819618 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2564750.950124995, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1904503082702873, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.807453473465341 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2582188.2190379044, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6798815655788992, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.36834851876329 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1261002.186611114, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.16536520018088, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.921832217100135 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2096862.6380650904, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.2854085685857, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.4935446496340194 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2851872.5974226324, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.00664848767767, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.366721434445541 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 4368002.206661884, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.162599570873084, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.30583263670558 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3938929.3258475605, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.82309212573016, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.386999239104878 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5593508.725328999, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.005815860263326, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.1751344497523 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 17868106.535103932, "yoy_growth_pct": 219.4436160292745, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.93072084015234 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 4605969.459097423, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.22239759960871, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.353173408937906 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 6515212.650599052, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.45149481463912, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.215912283985036 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 15585942.10359865, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.22384332559852, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.452753683748611 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2742041.703902703, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.40695566763596, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.876435337022565 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3696123.127160181, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.79456282154825, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.21735884388831 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 8852373.499440834, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.50429125023015, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.185022109700597 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3568468.4689661665, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.68913343758517, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.178201530275064 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 12259842.67602897, "yoy_growth_pct": 243.56034760146872, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.1349692394428 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 11507924.148833536, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.133182513553958, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.138778079007492 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 22856107.336247366, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.61190463758925, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.71207154516203 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 11655332.938696895, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.00560814127447, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6713834373648928 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 45793994.138277665, "yoy_growth_pct": 292.90163892476147, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.46639488920891 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 16213433.942516662, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.59484644742007, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.815185530557214 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 18339924.357553046, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.115607850722277, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.311936229884893 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 9941118.15097271, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.79520636420402, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.89984799587516 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 6942832.04271425, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.16045139716086, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.626175712360897 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61356631.50115772, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.35876822314333, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9122179731029614, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "731210", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: stranded wire, ropes and cables, not electrically insulated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15736816.176296908, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.922450390512374, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5027741579702317, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99424815.91867466, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.586749320498, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.887996382996551, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "490199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31092011.90411567, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.33377900833366, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0225574060882117, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BLR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "distance_km": 11340, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "importer_population": 17888.474, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.86976346398467, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 12.86976346398467, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ECU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ECU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ECU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ECU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BLR-ECU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }