{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.331Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bahrain exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BHR",
    "country_name": "Bahrain"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "Zambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 247537454.10835117,
    "attention_trade_usd": 246927871.25920206,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 246927871.25920206,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 609582.8491490945,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 247537454.10835117,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7929995709439923,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.748044003758621,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6987.210085545806,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 81.5923636726522,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 201971659.78211042,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5231.337890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.75374116561679,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2361.4080655866337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1663.437847448203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.5573741917002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 62324083.69081459,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3746603.478366977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 26772120.726189084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.043699416418704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2146.4870055204556
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2864.4222985276037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.98930072694718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.860703518235702
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 164203.6036032398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5632.520783951627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -86.18845506837177
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 19857.830274704076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.90658070898009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -90.94789311743574
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 85020.49760026328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 328.1459576606753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 209.61989962664296
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 27560.075643011805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.58419860985798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.83894373484898
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 431598.0404754187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1466.026327597746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 179.0717591086055
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2393874.739858589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 454.6537554298582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 204.2233842506791
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 16985.5948030646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.29045599085656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.899237479810012
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4270.361409655619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.85892334553309,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.5318285078527
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 29.526724141170586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.3085661538059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -97.68950722481885
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9488.944982960245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32036.802367890636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.64074875427498
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 153682.23456418916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1519.592429297079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 230.1563679776108
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 26342.585696538725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.85905604428461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 862.6779954625616
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 59666.05692726202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 126.50038084568828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.57369359254537
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 435375.13564687263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 629.6864550269039,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.496811014513256
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2562760.074445844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 488.63262152950944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 359.9209393307941
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 180162.69588334812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.96997414311969,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.537047128234455
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 322450.5607404332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.97742879536713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.524045971683448
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2299202.000789467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 613.0401620359662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5527772480115627
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 707984.0293399534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.20740199874321,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.804553125415815
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 173423.92392860653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.50454293576539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.676644351539984
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 413875.36450804566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 138.64952143420874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.536974029154095
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 295812.09585052234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.52628563622278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.24088426545581
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 156055968.41173628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52655.10048466489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 865.4366722567969
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 247899661.07769603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.85304714757233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 742.9505899080132
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1016166187.1347258,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.830648315048925,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 445487431.811011,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.64982395187434,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.635624665401165,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "250300",
      "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43093144.16734773,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9251933300811886,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "distance_km": 5200,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065,
    "importer_population": 18920.656,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-ZMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-ZMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-ZMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-ZMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}