{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.734Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bahrain exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BHR",
    "country_name": "Bahrain"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UKR",
    "country_name": "Ukraine"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
    "importer_iso3": "UKR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 3301319.241240325,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2794341.739250271,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 156710.44300488042,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 350267.0589851728,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2951052.1822551517,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.983311982686087,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.419087745169666,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7243.492853995151,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 84.64318458945583,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 95.25309636683293,
    "top_product_hs6": "760120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2794341.739250271,
    "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "760120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3195.369384765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 200085.537744,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4567,
    "buyer_population_latest": 43814.583,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.388047577338883,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.285640541163119,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.37794288946095,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.714000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.852,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.64318458945583,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 200085.537744,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4567,
    "buyer_population_2024": 43814.583
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 11352.298274985678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 19064.945701301276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.93908369470962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 92781.16347761007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 386.6584197576671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1153.2037843670505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.75707121883059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.34042752858703
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 227487.79996699115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19626.591522750725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 128.51121141222572
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 86370.75269064118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.03279793326336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3582330272504892
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 53998.14046073548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.480988901250456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 260.4327525283989
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 32515.621348052435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.78381279315344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -47.7148952713213
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 172424.92678680964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 430.28335193458406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.91509050378633
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 532955.636059152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 209.09430903694758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 114.5049992733418
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 809805.085828042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.94605911591541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 192.03135317497262
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 481067.82727792877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.59461521089026,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.77820421858907
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1892644.8555513886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 293.42578078037735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.56656083548585
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 547823.2560207432,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.05514780472934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.215065727895436
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 4642854.979180952,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 747.5096535524134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.90846807355814
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 62777.58711316167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.64786672436114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.86991827225337
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 47100.308721603455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.972731690529393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.86385175814213
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 106526.98338702519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 126.1704567939797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -71.5843123612627
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 99457.81655582768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.636033994799595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.57661314759611
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 255592.6316447624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 156.98596701174625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.72822619919354
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 301570.40816507756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.988694049763442,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.46305463076805
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 347114.0382222893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.102154861388616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.68562281876166
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 442748.59357235336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.551336108400328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.098141522306246
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1449346.2602952798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 227.35197385972717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.7567463284112
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1367389.759215257,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.654721947764618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.933180592985025
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 3717613.26589852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 171.87663508845154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 103.25239557036863
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16800480.462347142,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9961977300123195,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "392062",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polyethylene terephthalate, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25143993.723001286,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.73925010417366,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9896985490336092,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "760511",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30777447.02747336,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.78432051068836,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6364512379730375,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "760612",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80720813.0889459,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1101639698457728,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
    "importer_iso3": "UKR",
    "distance_km": 3189,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455,
    "importer_population": 43814.583,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-UKR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-UKR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-UKR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-UKR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-UKR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}