{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.253Z", "seo": { "title": "Bahrain exports to Paraguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to Paraguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PRY", "country_name": "Paraguay" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4262142.089692923, "attention_trade_usd": 3963344.3443012964, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3963344.3443012964, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4262142.089692923, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 298797.7453916271, "access_friction_trade_usd": 4262142.089692923, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3687610362482185, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 89.02211388015802, "product_concentration_hhi": 8696.193114253505, "top1_product_share_pct": 92.98949356676293, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 3963344.3443012964, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 12944.6337890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38986.810989, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5400, "buyer_population_latest": 7219.641, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2296186225791113, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9651940186437677, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.240055114987726, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.45, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.94, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.98949356676293, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38986.810989, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5400, "buyer_population_2024": 7219.641 }, "history": [ { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 196608.38698624115, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 231475.0031739019, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.73404315152678, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 602.1098056387605, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.73988128420656, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3907.8979647542446, "yoy_growth_pct": 549.0341011152395, "cagr_3y_pct": -72.91178474571876 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 552.2898328272466, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.86734255069072, "cagr_3y_pct": -86.63750210310523 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 18599946.572661407, "yoy_growth_pct": 3367687.2499382715, "cagr_3y_pct": 3037.7041991365404 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 9470689.541036613, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.08216803720914, "cagr_3y_pct": 1243.2168406516862 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 12746529.339451607, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.589242781328025, "cagr_3y_pct": 2747.1365757843355 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3935676.986021286, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.12354036765109, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.41056739991322 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 811955.142327523, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.3693652906115, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.90559580162201 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 20890.687567273744, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.42711309058414, "cagr_3y_pct": -88.20982472782416 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 26546.39111187847, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.07284538334036, "cagr_3y_pct": -81.10579250408371 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 175352.0047882089, "yoy_growth_pct": 560.5493155329341, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.00345618668063 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 213303.17863065153, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.642851410954922, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.94427693639736 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 74573.02810891173, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.03895132381508, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.09948542157169 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 832637.1875406443, "yoy_growth_pct": 1016.539328836965, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.07960651865774 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 11403904.776842328, "yoy_growth_pct": 1269.6127133747143, "cagr_3y_pct": 276.72006437535276 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 3299243.1126723047, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.069180449735, "cagr_3y_pct": 253.68028087248783 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 50120231.97842316, "yoy_growth_pct": 1419.1433388437697, "cagr_3y_pct": 291.9094686391683 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 39217507.245898224, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.753141001459408, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.941548494731116 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 9044802.304728879, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.93682505617467, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.95709515325729 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 964659533.3148592, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.83533616003993, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4456653802604544, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20121582.880649116, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.70667631680331, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34867838303540744, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "distance_km": 12928, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693, "importer_population": 7219.641, "importer_biz_entry_days": 35, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 52.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-PRY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-PRY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-PRY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-PRY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-PRY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }