{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.736Z", "seo": { "title": "Bahrain exports to Nepal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to Nepal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NPL", "country_name": "Nepal" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3025610.4068361027, "attention_trade_usd": 2699618.823352757, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 325991.5834833459, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3025610.4068361027, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6903683634976918, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.060709592019366, "product_concentration_hhi": 8077.294271574661, "top1_product_share_pct": 89.22559286725098, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "271320", "top_product_trade_usd": 2699618.823352757, "top_product_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271320", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3433.79638671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 22.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36288.830373000004, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1223, "buyer_population_latest": 29674.919, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.652648953830973, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7645171101378105, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8559109302753942, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.022, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.22559286725098, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36288.830373000004, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1223, "buyer_population_2024": 29674.919 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 1494846.301906351, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 3257366.191610146, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.90642873826455, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 4109727.85185049, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.16720411833753, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 2566936.3816860113, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.53999110840892, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.749264500451 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 4229870.6660240935, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.78283981645995, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.098848800180349 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 1377532.3322105983, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.43322808246941, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.535500253417382 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 3414312.936071641, "yoy_growth_pct": 147.85719044376359, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.975532301327084 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 473089.4109112039, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.14393525815709, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.81941749581516 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 734320.7515111644, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.21817537551947, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.917337691158377 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 770151.710626103, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.8794697741010085, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.12705400466299 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 861188.2632921143, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.820599942834908, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.100738774570793 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 963648.5126215109, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.897543626258432, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.482393835027603 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 171882.30234851877, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.16338217749852, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.34243680752284 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 3687212.6345142657, "yoy_growth_pct": 2045.1962093443767, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.38030779540728 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 2597699.437059803, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.548423306430482, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.1735637914854 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 1135457.0780465612, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.28989782852922, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.63471265812292 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 900374.7339427243, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.703763149574293, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.49591929465389 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 812564.533758056, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.752628197389445, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.11773562877097 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 119935.69462597676, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.23985607994946, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.72924077789194 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 402633.31449049606, "yoy_growth_pct": 235.7076604643186, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.529228994307594 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 646735.7295811565, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.6264822868805, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.326336683637469 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 3809938.3537027747, "yoy_growth_pct": 489.1028096082141, "cagr_3y_pct": 216.70615081274235 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 651753.4839753254, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.89333255636791, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.415262053048597 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 509159.4850724933, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.87851732423275, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.663021057016184 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 1021585.873349847, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.64162670059957, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.5159494075466 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 4743285.006329956, "yoy_growth_pct": 364.3060490623675, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.79026342142932 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 4108114.626469509, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.390938537591701, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.5685823217957 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 3587468.454021702, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.673603825296553, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.997952345486894 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "export_value_usd": 4059752.489809263, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.164827561287984, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.054705609594512 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55643805.11385305, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.088819443382059, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6595925205860416, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 190638370.79730448, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.07794989313632, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9452309091532085, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NPL", "distance_km": 3442, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36288.830373000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1222.8788349177971, "importer_population": 29674.919, "importer_biz_entry_days": 22.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NPL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NPL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NPL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NPL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NPL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }