{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.241Z", "seo": { "title": "Bahrain exports to Norway: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to Norway, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "all_history_lane_count": 25, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 26005335.274669543, "attention_trade_usd": 5366517.742325823, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1010337.2332710185, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5860215.328452856, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5935048.303643098, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8482632210235025, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.615299209032514, "product_concentration_hhi": 5530.219828546249, "top1_product_share_pct": 71.28634875377125, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.80768219648293, "top_product_hs6": "760110", "top_product_trade_usd": 18538253.998488426, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "760120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4824.97705078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.4430904727397977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.487252744353131, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.329484240073535, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.15776850427959566, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 482437.01979000005, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 89203, "buyer_population_latest": 5408.32, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4203268959053013, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.573677479094294, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8254061252542577, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.656, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.356, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 20.63621824385041, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 482437.01979000005, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 89203, "buyer_population_2024": 5408.32 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4384322.602445999, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4297881.1518506305, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9716033338227246, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5498981.4669256415, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.946336174461873, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 7101129.178781986, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.135353910404604, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.437907267983398 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 7960520.610139283, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.102179945199975, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.808668592350912 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 15741793.997295128, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.7482977337546, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.98985736633636 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 13680974.819858767, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.091387028635149, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.431368295877355 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 6946750.059640418, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.2232815927942, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.439136054643267 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 6308397.405830135, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.18922731248123, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.273841333320135 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 8807909.455700284, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.62198144904654, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.652069630510255 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 10452713.436708365, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.67416995236708, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.5906343520537 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 19765066.34739077, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.09029188515602, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.32765429036343 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 19841565.882283647, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3870441593684548, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.08943771284416 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 18853191.17040357, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.9813342240422, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.726539444011816 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4442519.300670268, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.43624752692108, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.19905226082643 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 12203147.523429308, "yoy_growth_pct": 174.68980318415612, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.958292272195074 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 38002233.27437704, "yoy_growth_pct": 211.41337266811732, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.320765673093625 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 16433778.964426242, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.75575473216546, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.65692561434465 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 15745837.714160923, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.186141554869927, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.86742976661543 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 14505514.6329739, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.877148892951857, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.46048058410452 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 22425941.586665995, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.60286762723605, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.918609128062862 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 9974502.721089572, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.52247970261277, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.116745380768004 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 36377909.74334738, "yoy_growth_pct": 264.70900615859085, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.86310422237593 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 33580093.14414412, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.690976801422488, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.40466575615984 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 8821763.23746451, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.729187707739, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.011018947306544 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 13808810.71487306, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.53118705600053, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.594285228280345 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 20159694.42204935, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.99153278519448, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.640496284465478 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 23300420.702211514, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.579235549954774, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.230152847891 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 21047709.40080839, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.668114280826323, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.084328356142196 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 26690435.412654012, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.809216643920884, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.805452154424854 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144801662.61608493, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7537133080130893, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 120195940.55566171, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.98710735580028, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9990134966487112, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "701990", "hs_description": "Glass fibres: n.e.c. in heading no. 7019", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44407932.56628944, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8698905981285419, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "280469", "hs_description": "Silicon: containing by weight less than 99.99% of silicon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15126170.393330734, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9994818421742059, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "760612", "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49339468.331777, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.92696249901614, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6241328891345035, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "810411", "hs_description": "Magnesium: unwrought, containing at least 99.8% by weight of magnesium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13801757.528694326, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "902519", "hs_description": "Thermometers and pyrometers: (other than liquid filled, for direct reading), not combined with other instruments", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19258618.05262919, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.47854320572493, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6183555856974469, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "distance_km": 4819, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "importer_population": 5408.32, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.4430904727397977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.487252744353131, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.329484240073535, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.15776850427959566 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NOR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NOR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NOR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NOR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-NOR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }