{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.785Z", "seo": { "title": "Bahrain exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 29, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 46639201.37916459, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 203073.91512451484, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 46639201.37916459, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 517443.45374580706, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9014211199906615, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 84.28432861133592, "product_concentration_hhi": 9487.729788079441, "top1_product_share_pct": 97.39565233444931, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.04828857148917, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 45424554.42681483, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3399.366455078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 92704207.15435937, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 56205872.843985245, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.370742095449565, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 20414151.898505125, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.67968173865002, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 38678423.664366774, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.46867769314038, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.27663163250028 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 39112697.604074396, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1227808647944038, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.384024101870693 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 122167418.95856869, "yoy_growth_pct": 212.34720804796248, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.55491850334764 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 92689732.70824663, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.1289261094392, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.81997812310538 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 63834651.09533739, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.13082837743688, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.736983913259373 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 262446578.58406538, "yoy_growth_pct": 311.1349777601196, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.031329539861915 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 512696.8338529426, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.80464716415088, "cagr_3y_pct": -82.31481250159804 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 188417753.3500755, "yoy_growth_pct": 36650.325125690084, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.44600052980625 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 157295870.936506, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.517489387396434, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.687467258461552 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 302381685.1398802, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.23752240892544, "cagr_3y_pct": 738.6194856177158 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 307064677.75891924, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5487024675031824, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.68000554273117 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 193091522.3618908, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.11698663253947, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.073490716468278 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 102044626.32049644, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.1521975318807, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.3782579951564 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 454779513.74685, "yoy_growth_pct": 345.6672831732484, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.98744271664707 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 378694278.72505707, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.730136851358978, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.17238073246839 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 700359068.205835, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.9404935727365, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.03935111368469 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 415557180.8194427, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.66512455046691, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.961673218651839 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 43344029.445712656, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.56965937630004, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.44728579591875 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 113629721.8802698, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.15772583531546, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.45892053470596 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 129127757.68469538, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.639068676728506, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.26762990354132 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 41860262.76052333, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.58228942320994, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1543513290850016 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 6650993.971527126, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.1114375951806, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.17320552624352 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 36375220.55003954, "yoy_growth_pct": 446.91405082851804, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.44658186902312 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 39083545.695942596, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.445522267493487, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.261875269158009 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 49744909.113788165, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.27839357459414, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.56330244501116 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 8215406.136602817, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.4849308543099, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.101330979372605 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 48071924.41438151, "yoy_growth_pct": 485.14361450984705, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.143505287648333 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1916391666.4794307, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.5744226509454, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9083346412147779, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26735241.688228015, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.81042258837712, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4165282505702976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22329253.89657076, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.41927661846856, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6332718253677554, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16201358.373219598, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.49867834286592, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1907490327159522, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "190531", "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13850790.856895056, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.53212667168279, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6178451756186305, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "340220", "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14530178.33084082, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.58013012038137, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6976066832514344, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "721633", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: H sections, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or extruded, of a height of 80mm or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14505105.660381792, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.54110504010626, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9038530194831563, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BHR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 3383, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }