{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.781Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bahrain exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bahrain to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BHR",
    "country_name": "Bahrain"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 57,
    "current_lane_count": 19,
    "current_product_count": 19,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 364931154.65312374,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 49629093.929329336,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6687081.1692305785,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 630958.8261813998,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 31565.54443659455,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 7,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6800020028953355,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.3336610343351887,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7119.300906556579,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 83.91271473671644,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 95.45249796356727,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 306223638.7894812,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4843.39111328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.017400000244379044,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9237216556979804,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6378997400239916,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.282513386844695,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 32944826.636041947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 164464535.91962263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 399.2120242019938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 131830691.4415708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.84248111337552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 100032036.31262147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.120828603135212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.80513439929745
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 92208979.2589435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.820551637306727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.54183798472081
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 197044026.85133618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.69288374616136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.335803496990085
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 159670726.2511176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.966979713836054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.867942175520657
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 92619555.63614824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.99340241586709,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.14820266461288423
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 49112704.02746734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.97372094894907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.06722862369255
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 203879841.49885857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 315.12648414722673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.488322891986378
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 87882188.29201967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.89510662459894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7348797827302143
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 157598463.95677692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.329244093354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.49797053048075
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 414485441.69521606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 163.0009400401854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.68105298098482
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 392143800.5171268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.39021131519446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.63221842852191
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 270455282.3814532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.03160574646363,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.72398466920071
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 248583822.64763328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.086904253166772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.668881525162714
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 185015890.6244983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.572030933502177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.15072739571594
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 658536355.4522501,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 255.93502440760193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.53277357425255
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 494518249.0417792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.90646189120894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.76790314065005
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 211080164.8393987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.316000926476285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.491139352617934
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 82251867.67928658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.03287689685657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.01319976968033
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 113423941.39394371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.89831719834267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.78740318454197
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 360617962.0581362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 217.93813336607562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.545521258556175
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 185235595.30958036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.63384112860191,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.0769193406379
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 258984731.39893395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.813695616168275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.68100790884725
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 115857753.44656101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.26463941687108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.51019714913952
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 100632994.45110495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.140906449975676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.403414900555713
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 206031982.46531427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.73601485188841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.341166841826818
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 229361901.3860551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.323445341632077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.5640723245935
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 367479048.7325612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.217998940474175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.99172923914759
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24858052988.411655,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5720476725498924,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 915516685.1702209,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3713366131719769,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "701990",
      "hs_description": "Glass fibres: n.e.c. in heading no. 7019",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 302208472.4372192,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.426696248889044,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1485116978552838,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 372004965.2672591,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.112115580832597,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.356810323392156,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "760612",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1197063511.2301514,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.77819559549529,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9651558029324823,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "860799",
      "hs_description": "Railway or tramway rolling stock: parts n.e.c. in heading no. 8607",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 439724984.42343456,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.78555824817391,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8773840921626892,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "760310",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: powders of non-lamellar structure",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31753994.537677363,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.53631576230667,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.944424194179901,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 516629883.5027756,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3571847369986236,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "701912",
      "hs_description": "Glass fibres: (including glass wool), rovings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37675747.711042196,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.74184428427662,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7016620825995463,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer demand is declining in both recent and longer-term observations",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "declining_buyer_demand"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "392062",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polyethylene terephthalate, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 299150714.1366932,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8257480531587855,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BHR",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 4838,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9237216556979804,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6378997400239916,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.282513386844695
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BHR-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}