{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.770Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Venezuela: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Venezuela, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "VEN", "country_name": "Venezuela" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "all_history_lane_count": 17, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1487821.6479999993, "attention_trade_usd": 1110041.8879999993, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1110041.8879999993, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1298492.0169999993, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1487821.6479999993, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1504021584101156, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 3.4649272726930955, "product_concentration_hhi": 5850.426398510942, "top1_product_share_pct": 74.60853184198324, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.24098634166398, "top_product_hs6": "901890", "top_product_trade_usd": 1110041.8879999993, "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "top_attention_product_hs6": "901890", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 9239.998046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01979999989271164, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.563832187878788, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.563832187878788, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 230, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 438283.56710399996, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 14415, "buyer_population_latest": 28704.947, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.410959418571952, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.821892213210415, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.37080470873739335, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.625999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.182000000000002, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.60853184198324, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 438283.56710399996, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 14415, "buyer_population_2024": 28704.947 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1303021.7015150518, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1064866.1616084205, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.277173713202366, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1590107.0867126943, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.32459533796498, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1118394.2026640056, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.66547901021457, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.965545518359493 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 797116.7377906856, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.726674736692992, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.202135581255055 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 580854.3685562747, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.130576863033973, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.515212754688413 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1442306.553526568, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.3077741347543, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.848109344033016 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 942399.9495144241, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.6602185776545, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.73962727764572 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1767611.347538086, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.56488139126661, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.91271959338272 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 2474534.1772865313, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.99311447808036, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.714096781095634 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 941567.6506404644, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.949701108070876, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.029447653479464098 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1555114.3777950422, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.1622564493626, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.179481057258694 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 3864409.7368088127, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.4968174680542, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.019209945799396 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 16785550.217378333, "yoy_growth_pct": 334.3625899058948, "cagr_3y_pct": 161.232987752348 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 2622405.440314439, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.37700637540362, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.027094799121524 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 4579795.55780066, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.6410180285288, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.824845056899597 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 7263610.339178354, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.601191854654154, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.362183102224076 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 2201245.2123874463, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.69488849760562, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.668618297735573 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 2240240.8425838742, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7715259516287052, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.207864179154523 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 2510934.656623273, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.083246090950794, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.817695546661117 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1969239.639801922, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.573441403283166, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6444543805203344 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 1104306.046769294, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.9222111697705, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.005246816698364 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 468792.906268321, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.54864263943863, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.84574868691519 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 482924.0465252433, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.014367339601809, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.40685779281221 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 209503.2043162187, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.617773369612564, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.53980795063632 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 127716.448, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.0384273993117, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.17309813958762 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 237838.88, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.22415806615604, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.028932861954775 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 666829.315, "yoy_growth_pct": 180.37018800290343, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.098418901642304 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 3128181.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 369.1128493653582, "cagr_3y_pct": 190.41233612532557 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "export_value_usd": 3610766.3889999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.426992067597102, "cagr_3y_pct": 147.6122805068358 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27803623.104624346, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4916267854971919, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "hs_code": "180631", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10504305.986, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.228668739434582, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.15759946132712022, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "hs_code": "870333", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11018942.713409193, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "hs_code": "901839", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: catheters, cannulae and the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14856976.05232114, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9929612191515951, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "VEN", "distance_km": 9245, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 438283.56710399996, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15268.57259496072, "importer_population": 28704.947, "importer_biz_entry_days": 230, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 211.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.563832187878788, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.563832187878788, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-VEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-VEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-VEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-VEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-VEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }