{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.978Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Uruguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Uruguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "URY", "country_name": "Uruguay" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 948607.0606782271, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 456605.1672209423, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 103646.23202694242, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 398962.6626255937, "access_friction_trade_usd": 948607.0606782271, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 6, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1164302597646754, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.566926619527843, "product_concentration_hhi": 3173.117851129858, "top1_product_share_pct": 40.86921311605119, "top3_product_share_pct": 88.25414592794489, "top_product_hs6": "901890", "top_product_trade_usd": 387688.24126249366, "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 11811.4072265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01979999989271164, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949495, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 59319.547636, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17021, "buyer_population_latest": 3485.152, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.406280845583722, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.472294361527985, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.06258848955915663, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.342000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 18.974, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 59319.547636, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17021, "buyer_population_2024": 3485.152 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1427866.2140155653, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1739893.0626350301, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.85266697654793, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 7698784.7301324485, "yoy_growth_pct": 342.4860869594369, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 555023.6222152715, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.79076319613209, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.019306942536048 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1934161.153146104, "yoy_growth_pct": 248.48267276017313, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.591319902955048 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 618953.0962906852, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.99888699636548, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.84028967285278 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 588422.0171391495, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.932696731707942, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9668842567592826 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2222753.3433037787, "yoy_growth_pct": 277.74816008935034, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.744896487948447 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2147241.5222603455, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.397219996133105, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.382051229070825 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1005948.7721054216, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.15157788833715, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.571859586468122 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 741543.9599144066, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.28412296161199, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.644345167184994 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1078899.4798321608, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.493664321221594, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.50007926255133 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2494547.911774095, "yoy_growth_pct": 131.2122638303765, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.35428059545702 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3709460.740807155, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.70272578444994, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.0243541674788 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1401982.345537114, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.205224869638286, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.124061173633603 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2396425.2457419755, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.93119990921713, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3287389139844952 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2549670.1799080214, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.394730419333339, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.748030033739754 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 4566769.478035349, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.11216572333659, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.2366237831265 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3146007.6283588125, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.110872937859714, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.496094335123416 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3906817.3665704518, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.183340540993314, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.286831045596362 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3946384.68469445, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0127762424362308, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.750338178388736 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2798311.293847886, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.091775956338473, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.82871521550997 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3246800.1121369335, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.027123904157992, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.9820420351405 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3008612.259365363, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.336079972437948, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.647114864464566 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2636979.458224866, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.352299635277342, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9599387707224247 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2635357.3922628853, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.06151227143318394, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.718685823281367 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3757905.1032931786, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.59565379352219, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.694418598755193 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2385245.3718258324, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.52725903760684, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2890969957706018 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 3050921.596612706, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.90808160241052, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.00190435885155 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2517074.689006484, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.497890086684855, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.504960565354006 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30224802.96782301, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8947081188910464, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39244012.44636265, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4920937847824709, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12209947.251068424, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.78163456246813, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5543545789853029, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "853720", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11691258.620337987, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0879118520833229, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10596385.84341234, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4880304498956324, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "853690", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10942644.618036143, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.102916716305702, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1594449621741838, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "URY", "distance_km": 11780, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 59319.547636, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17020.64863627182, "importer_population": 3485.152, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949495, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-URY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-URY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-URY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-URY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-URY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }