{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.995Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Togo: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Togo, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TGO", "country_name": "Togo" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 695523.2977096342, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 37983.816271955264, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 63183.843626361675, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 101167.65989831694, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8133423240370078, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.710476941443975, "product_concentration_hhi": 7414.81389124468, "top1_product_share_pct": 85.45445418845591, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "630900", "top_product_trade_usd": 594355.6378113172, "top_product_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 4600.53076171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02970000170171261, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8413.200568, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 992, "buyer_population_latest": 8478.242, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.780521833202549, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.26072900486625, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3713302665379965, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 15.99, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -33.566, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8413.200568, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 992, "buyer_population_2024": 8478.242 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 377342.26601385226, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 3153328.5940021304, "yoy_growth_pct": 735.6680070094166, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1986860.6139608996, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.99164058766159, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 344866.6957915507, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.64263263520823, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.955274864573443 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 538.7329281738735, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.8437851683714, "cagr_3y_pct": -94.45116985672043 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 343.26411293106867, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.28306439433347, "cagr_3y_pct": -94.4304470943695 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 36035.36603331409, "yoy_growth_pct": 10397.85418161391, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.899459169817064 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 26123.656156925248, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.505506305182614, "cagr_3y_pct": 264.6588958153542 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 198154.0097475037, "yoy_growth_pct": 658.5232654923537, "cagr_3y_pct": 732.6416944903984 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1106885.940980268, "yoy_growth_pct": 458.5988102843386, "cagr_3y_pct": 213.17804676782995 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1574560.6045269207, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.251387088038705, "cagr_3y_pct": 292.08040740430505 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1338551.7310120487, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.988871996183429, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.03581688639674 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 3172483.6934873057, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.00867288025265, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.047035903259264 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1394800.320165401, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.034436897855656, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9602798869067257 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 379973.9851509501, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.75782205829353, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.27868650705867 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 270587.0657201217, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.788002259515967, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.981435232214395 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 251931.38675808307, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.894519851638037, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.472894690994934 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 26382335.978697035, "yoy_growth_pct": 10372.032214084802, "cagr_3y_pct": 311.01069952476274 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 2406356.2477888786, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.8789113680762, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.18149529168733 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 19730815.23783083, "yoy_growth_pct": 719.9457273195031, "cagr_3y_pct": 327.84610652200297 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 329030.5120971489, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.3324028524362, "cagr_3y_pct": -76.80963190153565 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 541114.8534842894, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.45734775032683, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.18978892025405 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 352603.6675693698, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.83755522530538, "cagr_3y_pct": -73.85548447469834 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 522536.24788865744, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.19365081784235, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.67023779071821 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1370975.0986132892, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.36937708203124, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.326422203514205 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1180416.5264514221, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.899491854710766, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.59468099795434 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 809420.4706104846, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.42924955110794, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.705122661396054 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 507573.505128093, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.29173852679205, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.194706913291824 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 421585.0955938323, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.94107526604651, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.05039381754201 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "export_value_usd": 1390052.9667784534, "yoy_growth_pct": 229.7206142500047, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.752812436469092 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "hs_code": "630900", "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42773696.26976163, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8426773820981649, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43331476.68436103, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.68425609439141, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3843160672088486, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14238140.789919985, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.90562722310473, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0679789490041494, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "TGO", "distance_km": 4598, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8413.200568, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 992.3284294078891, "importer_population": 8478.242, "importer_biz_entry_days": 2.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-TGO/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-TGO/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-TGO/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-TGO/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-TGO/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }