{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.385Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bulgaria exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 356,
    "current_lane_count": 234,
    "current_product_count": 234,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 302208373.6273637,
    "attention_trade_usd": 52227326.605185986,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 175068734.61736485,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 41087726.86472559,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 52326325.09664088,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 117,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 98,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 34,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2864866245009876,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.83228827197627,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 213.31346458647315,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 5.313870346100493,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 14.72808117038181,
    "top_product_hs6": "400942",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 16058961.149617061,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), tubing, piping and hoses, reinforced or otherwise combined with materials other than metal or textiles, with fittings",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "400942",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1889.218994140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2451012283563614,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.9334086038383838,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9334086038383838,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.9334086038383838,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 17.28189261545234,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 19013347.43924822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 16853603.108321346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.35909569752368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 20865945.215529513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.807028570805144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 20908021.964920323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2016527358631004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.217052831350742
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 20565633.084295902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6375957572595023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.860312597101981
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 22052374.76019001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.229253141880654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.860491443731549
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 26041334.536827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.088572410070093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.59285448186704
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 28999559.934047487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.359730404895485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.137217291686753
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 38343118.071823135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.2196549155412,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.247859457179818
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 43811471.019976236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.261628222070911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.93459541524083
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 52326003.11773386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.43448119757345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.742454004440237
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 66531648.572354354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.14834806445601,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.165635058386822
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 102076321.59316748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.425210082022346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.5701431934639
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 98701449.35819635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.306224384164169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.557370076831184
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 105637268.06508045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.027068753279808,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.662055857114378
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 92606871.18480024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.335037737110465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.19315495003637
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 123538359.78498909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.40085698226862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.768730502483812
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 107897341.28013723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.660859778350698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.708128961817378
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 130354536.39380318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.813483304801395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.071274968909584
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 156977103.63072014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.423199662564674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.312395302166319
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 158866371.8514912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2035310736879579,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.764582674473758
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 190265132.47188523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.76425863728146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.434288882500267
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 235198700.09277248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.616291139169654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.428147858716954
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 260325767.84545285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.683336150569357,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.894911351501253
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 271717250.2382083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.375856638025244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.61234470589061
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 259352863.8737687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.550460581210814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.312303199159472
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 286376299.7757061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.41956333094134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.230169023363394
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 303545534.282622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.995340578240249,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7613337857850038
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 337623050.25406235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.22649227964323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.189366694540379
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 330127407.3643364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.2201217849567745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.85315495984564
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "400942",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), tubing, piping and hoses, reinforced or otherwise combined with materials other than metal or textiles, with fittings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38450010.125180066,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2024761501560262,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "841199",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of gas turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 353611257.7585477,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.88560802401355,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5185445705230411,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "840991",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts, suitable for use solely or principally with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines (for other than aircraft)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 307322206.4036562,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.129793378715135,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 929795507.24759,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9100322459542591,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 792024403.00821,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5683803810414577,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "160529",
      "hs_description": "Crustacean preparations: shrimps and prawns, prepared or preserved, in airtight containers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43452242.231290065,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.284979165167794,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5090461809266967,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1651908105.9675117,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.386820275586732,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "852990",
      "hs_description": "Reception and transmission apparatus: for use with the apparatus of heading no. 8525 to 8528, excluding aerials and aerial reflectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 234268159.68941626,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.727679362526674,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2477807317021656,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "853890",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 336332289.27647585,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.822243720036705,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0086791846607095,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "160521",
      "hs_description": "Crustacean preparations: shrimps and prawns, prepared or preserved, not in airtight containers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100736900.21879046,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.545753301826615,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2019040213398078,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "distance_km": 1886,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "importer_population": 10415.811,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.9334086038383838,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9334086038383838,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.9334086038383838
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-SWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-SWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-SWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-SWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-SWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}