{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.217Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bulgaria exports to Peru: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Peru, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PER",
    "country_name": "Peru"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "PER",
    "all_history_lane_count": 79,
    "current_lane_count": 34,
    "current_product_count": 34,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 14427453.864853354,
    "attention_trade_usd": 8588034.714692567,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6684278.293536175,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5448258.699012275,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4959626.26327164,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.045923830330107,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.954730161604587,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1712.3552825960203,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 33.162213106771645,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 62.47352190141626,
    "top_product_hs6": "950430",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4784462.996543831,
    "top_product_description": "Games n.e.c. in heading 9504, operated by coins, banknotes, bank cards, tokens or by other means of payment, other than bowling alley equipment",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "950430",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 11768.537109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.017400000244379044,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.472201232080813,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.561971103797982,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.2355827354747477,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.326388368323235,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 26,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 223249.4975,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6692,
    "buyer_population_latest": 33359.417,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.840135059417383,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7332793866574843,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0670208049956331,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 59.5256432294948,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 223249.4975,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6692,
    "buyer_population_2024": 33359.417
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 10730898.848828385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 2501458.529395561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.6891985039196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 3367860.2095611063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.635860238502445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 3329571.8943533273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.136873647519021,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.30071240664895
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 5217401.7039375715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.698875095199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.76747813241245
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 4615028.215495037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.545468848755181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.072556497477247
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 7614361.296754786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.99056866411858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.749313527048617
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 8577430.509534558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.648062985798013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.023270269624447
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 6345310.857333548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.02317383649818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.19694290070139
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 6785873.064949673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.943114648306747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7669869226992447
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 23902869.459841967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 252.24457090576658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.7227382151792
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 29429624.14020315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.121720551778992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.76718736200114
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 25128651.849577993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.614431601760403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.71098550990443
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 21290091.54107369,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.275631703133996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7850637663890963
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 2611205.3233849406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.73511462669242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.398229129327916
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 6122438.680707777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 134.46791509949807,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.542429777314034
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 5461040.370594227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.802857237225771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.462134728260686
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 7123022.530702276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.433434791239343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.725100887102286
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 16035431.6785127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.12117025315273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.84321817482488
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 7482060.654969356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.340447547818535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.066208336155036
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 8564697.651241655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.469770377405911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.33655167332996
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 10496866.627518352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.55968692597787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.172024616160948
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 16076269.036610728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.15302753743234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.039106425922267
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 20921106.244854514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.13657707028021,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.67620486093204
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 17655760.17413201,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.60790348514962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.925662827142254
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 8963576.320501212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.23143363923792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.69390097541662
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 9153623.241393754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1202131169215654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.08350840836311
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 17193888.759562366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.83697237843033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.879710027421976
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 29236697.50377261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.04121587975638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.302679523658654
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "export_value_usd": 17572208.01143215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.896741042093794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.282820546897188
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "950430",
      "hs_description": "Games n.e.c. in heading 9504, operated by coins, banknotes, bank cards, tokens or by other means of payment, other than bowling alley equipment",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29577730.04243348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.93865332014668,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3348554367974663,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "310230",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 165507689.93496415,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7472238338774294,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119573797.10883614,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9993494838174931,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "731100",
      "hs_description": "Containers for compressed or liquefied gas, of iron or steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21445108.194589294,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5610403040006006,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 129051562.73915438,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8277755403932192,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 154206702.1056855,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.057494636605443,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "441012",
      "hs_description": "Oriented strand board (OSB) of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18547909.20313311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.1245328758382,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34340468489143633,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "180500",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15210264.148449045,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8244561053096819,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "350790",
      "hs_description": "Enzymes and prepared enzymes: other than rennet and concentrates thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38530488.61892435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9947542433364657,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "PER",
      "hs_code": "848210",
      "hs_description": "Ball bearings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30487362.093199905,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.689458313053024,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7552875398421759,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "PER",
    "distance_km": 11753,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 223249.4975,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6692.248173881455,
    "importer_population": 33359.417,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 26,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 9.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.472201232080813,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.561971103797982,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.2355827354747477,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.326388368323235
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-PER/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-PER/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-PER/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-PER/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-PER/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}