{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.978Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Mauritius: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Mauritius, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MUS", "country_name": "Mauritius" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "all_history_lane_count": 12, "current_lane_count": 8, "current_product_count": 8, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 935277.1942109094, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 254850.6985713679, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 157940.7896750369, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 166420.81495634525, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7582112925895762, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.04597263964707, "product_concentration_hhi": 1744.0806647510208, "top1_product_share_pct": 30.421800265785194, "top3_product_share_pct": 59.95362298774614, "top_product_hs6": "190531", "top_product_trade_usd": 284528.15995428275, "top_product_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7823.4462890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10008224844932556, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 23.216409835860606, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 23.426134462767685, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.2048746254989899, "tariff_advantage_pp": 23.221259837268693, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11156.65777, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 8812, "buyer_population_latest": 1266.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3964640242790418, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7200489167205948, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.3212715799106647, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.684, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 9.931999999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11156.65777, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 8812, "buyer_population_2024": 1266.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 136069.13397356716, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 132937.58339708447, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3014408080902715, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 107482.42912014399, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.148199949525146, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 59410.22818310068, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.72563686042874, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.13632682689465 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 73403.3132798739, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.553326631984838, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.960571195894794 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 48752.770441108376, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.58232992123577, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.165911701552123 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 106926.92901695015, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.32482615754955, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.639686215762556 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 149416.89399832822, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.73738455973286, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.734448778647767 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 162364.6781463761, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.66554229683878, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.33585242402856 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 203410.8438440008, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.28023099988563, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.906950669488445 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 226305.31112067302, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.255283565034691, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.841365404900419 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 346738.4231889021, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.21709484936055, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.776555553558293 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 304130.8277426471, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.288109017281457, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.348054721437986 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 1157144.9454363808, "yoy_growth_pct": 280.4760451365841, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.27846969892981 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 427122.61240613664, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.08823591282587, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.1972221459490004 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 656504.7008701495, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.70403762325304, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.23866564992228 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 462921.9690908504, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.486876715843657, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.315974692133594 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 2937383.078620015, "yoy_growth_pct": 534.5309306423393, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.1673734666411 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 699269.9300726361, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.19411866425152, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.125846890386862 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 674659.6862468054, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.519419721547923, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.37718140398707 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 714365.9110932688, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.885370899712838, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.58053463774051 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 2698253.573854126, "yoy_growth_pct": 277.71309240172263, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.84811459699333 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 3464357.337071547, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.392578467824837, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.52259179472827 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 3083697.7081649625, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.987885829016687, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.8234772435706 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 5155850.483244958, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.19701381861734, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.090685741257523 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 3869621.2162868488, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.946985393350474, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7564867641970423 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 2827625.2298607538, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.92759647999753, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8483867465491586 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 2587606.982000012, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.488333083396682, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.530709942506952 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 2986732.8617153396, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.424517034145403, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.270440435324433 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "export_value_usd": 3446412.3302618098, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.390712521991912, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.818988808858206 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "190531", "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18416610.080490496, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.860302552471286, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7669516169907831, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46819541.74557306, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4254178556499793, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23595199.660742987, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.053818234381661, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "690721", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14749452.042494979, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1236711997767461, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14137666.174071802, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.97813448642562, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9873880764298741, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32917195.552873485, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.333336070854248, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16031897.555767436, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.22156112742111, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35626184278777806, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13554978.879156658, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.64574794084254, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.105069927098807, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "MUS", "distance_km": 7793, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11156.65777, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8812.108249214098, "importer_population": 1266.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 23.216409835860606, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 23.426134462767685, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.2048746254989899, "tariff_advantage_pp": 23.221259837268693 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-MUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-MUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-MUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-MUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-MUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }