{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.794Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Kuwait: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Kuwait, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KWT", "country_name": "Kuwait" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "all_history_lane_count": 93, "current_lane_count": 48, "current_product_count": 48, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 8315811.2273384305, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6354127.25460136, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2570037.6636744216, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2405678.820027405, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 33, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 28, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5933803496621917, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.3449515759501, "product_concentration_hhi": 679.7381435859234, "top1_product_share_pct": 18.870486022433045, "top3_product_share_pct": 36.504034152291986, "top_product_hs6": "950691", "top_product_trade_usd": 1569233.9953068164, "top_product_description": "Athletics and gymnastics equipment", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 2657.8173828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 105960.22568799999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24812, "buyer_population_latest": 4328.553, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6105403309166553, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290050431921435, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9691492396988197, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.944, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 59.312, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 105960.22568799999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24812, "buyer_population_2024": 4328.553 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 2109109.4252051534, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3448969.7932642465, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.52730456025366, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 2902541.382528729, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.84323561785549, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 2999419.711779968, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3377070809180953, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.455157010491513 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3023333.9180334173, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7972944286365857, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.295525740491069 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 1560133.898266229, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.39690419373039, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.693022370138458 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 1696012.0157764568, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.709388191694867, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.307924115116112 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 3184091.245993991, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.73989903227613, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7418888599258109 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 5674875.21671699, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.22589801271353, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.79119837176087 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 7389708.504871677, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.217991104071306, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.33006224484785 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 19072501.54844963, "yoy_growth_pct": 158.09545174719756, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.61040128044546 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 6098986.200493299, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.0220961838691, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.431557919688232 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 6495256.455930564, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.4973135273730165, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.209376832632394 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 6574455.190791266, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.219331913959909, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.88396158511336 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 4667178.949710902, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.010407489762123, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.53275448326405 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 7549696.168552629, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.761446259100005, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.142360671520607 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 4779111.9786493825, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.69795615674958, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.08562173257872 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 8808324.041414293, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.30880215331551, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.57945531790582 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 11358691.252632003, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.954057539511414, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.586364376542305 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 17696744.39542878, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.79914975968856, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.70893287870007 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 21555908.354790308, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.807197262556286, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.75896966179264 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 19437441.523551084, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.827778056814951, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.610765078191505 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 21444781.109687366, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.327180064846075, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.612815633490499 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 23611907.265201535, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.105610984927239, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.083284248839857 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 22159586.321922343, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.150798946341684, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.465811667054864 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 16466157.065081077, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.692849921159365, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.429227349634093 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 17383820.84947076, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.57302946135334, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.703401711937765 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 21250534.79664331, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.243176460773697, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3865684120654809 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 16135627.638525689, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.069545576450903, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6736362841010535 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "export_value_usd": 14775801.551036472, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.427475633129234, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.274129721216758 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "950691", "hs_description": "Athletics and gymnastics equipment", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20320227.44426059, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.233954018342154, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "847150", "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74828549.3347037, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8843601639624445, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "852349", "hs_description": "Optical media: recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23583715.869743306, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5889435446144942, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "100390", "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123280210.02529907, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.58283221445703, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.23902558038756894, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128479908.20700654, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.94575627380522, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1928544611067606, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 232864372.6349555, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.652538001112035, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.683292113872378, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24885281.19290166, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.878476720490246, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "392590", "hs_description": "Plastics: builders' ware, n.e.s. or included in heading no. 3925", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10422712.530725932, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.539709408110463, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156563904.8304029, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.67226646112201, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.099522070139796, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67103740.026817694, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.939740894754976, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9352020734377089, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "KWT", "distance_km": 2653, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 105960.22568799999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24479.36427900964, "importer_population": 4328.553, "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737371, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-KWT/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-KWT/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-KWT/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-KWT/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-KWT/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }