{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.969Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Honduras: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Honduras, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HND", "country_name": "Honduras" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1181646.0405708465, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.3718186615958969, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.983717004873949, "product_concentration_hhi": 3671.311368856555, "top1_product_share_pct": 52.32162763988638, "top3_product_share_pct": 94.93916487708188, "top_product_hs6": "300432", "top_product_trade_usd": 618256.4413689391, "top_product_description": "Medicaments: containing corticosteroid hormones, their derivatives or structural analogues (but not containing antibiotics), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 10561.1904296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01979999989271164, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.594376092949494, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.15547842080808, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.617125603434344, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 42, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 28488.668302000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2831, "buyer_population_latest": 10062.994, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.313320948476278, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.487754088318409, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7143444105730765, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.909999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.446000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 28488.668302000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2831, "buyer_population_2024": 10062.994 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 878883.9824555393, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 853257.021526182, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9158525403725544, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1158327.1267249563, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.75360032234008, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 517847.33161759813, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.293515996490996, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.16538046644753 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 424297.05960615, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.0652223734021, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.77479278615669 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1341737.3298500497, "yoy_growth_pct": 216.2259316846328, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.02163098203785 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 756271.9149189597, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.634875612838506, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.455462348329107 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 580968.8897498841, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.17989359526337, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.043792260979025 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 915996.8825732359, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.667114149190745, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.947404057169786 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1409711.647317275, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.89917521958001, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.069595104078623 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1624503.3886992573, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.236572797758875, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.882131865160986 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 578924.8693171665, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.3629632696111, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.182458202012793 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1978382.0673556305, "yoy_growth_pct": 241.7338193968249, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.95924460706783 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 114724.40609318504, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.2010995759515, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.66559102800208 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 2732080.820296181, "yoy_growth_pct": 2281.4294737573496, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.7350331025863 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 218625.5119450766, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.99783877837933, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.01226805941499 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 79455.29956773123, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.65689490634922, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.524637554703965 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 236205.2464241716, "yoy_growth_pct": 197.2806693942671, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.78204374375042 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 59285.896312511715, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.90068607280315, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.27329236888457 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 356692.77615351946, "yoy_growth_pct": 501.648618540398, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.96449486362839 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 401952.69042437256, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.688766719338718, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.388308763901296 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 845158.3307215404, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.2631356514224, "cagr_3y_pct": 142.4723540515155 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1056154.5438035014, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.96528820840309, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.596675684201514 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1225128.6493971534, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.998994331372195, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.98917721248357 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1471634.3474659475, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.120801043228532, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.305997856770162 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 1754746.2770025716, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.237926188942467, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.439242000124523 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 2993517.7705901274, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.59547638440382, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.68938862064539 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 2359873.1175048877, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.167225373121003, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.04770762869783 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 4168387.9239742593, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.63610357075166, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.42931807812217 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 4490093.050181024, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.717734819173017, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.469864003070953 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "300432", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing corticosteroid hormones, their derivatives or structural analogues (but not containing antibiotics), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15958697.509881953, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65394123.64185398, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.48881471186227, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.633630666815518, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12828932.135107223, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9015458163866504, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22692570.778779093, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.70820192859295, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8882928236785407, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "HND", "distance_km": 10564, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843, "importer_population": 10062.994, "importer_biz_entry_days": 42, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 28.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.594376092949494, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.15547842080808, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.617125603434344 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-HND/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-HND/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-HND/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-HND/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-HND/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }