{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.353Z", "seo": { "title": "Bulgaria exports to Gambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Gambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GMB", "country_name": "Gambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "all_history_lane_count": 2, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 18682.8683150928, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 18682.8683150928, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1822080003874897, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.284804258975125, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "210690", "top_product_trade_usd": 18682.8683150928, "top_product_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5018.22802734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004600000102072954, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2078.070684, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 836, "buyer_population_latest": 2486.937, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.805984484850701, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.372331111411797, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3542599332658787, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 13.280000000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -0.5940000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2078.070684, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 836, "buyer_population_2024": 2486.937 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 68010.26056627081, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 3491.8952248368873, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.86563469135028, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 14992.568998489538, "yoy_growth_pct": 329.3533463390176, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 212803.63350859017, "yoy_growth_pct": 1319.3940580165386, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.2631312671661 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 54246.92700571956, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.50845828554435, "cagr_3y_pct": 149.51958859517106 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 1712676.98715591, "yoy_growth_pct": 3057.187110295359, "cagr_3y_pct": 385.21379014027445 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 244330.60750009946, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.73399366416213, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.712761236851382 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 641949.3491961268, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.7379990433108, "cagr_3y_pct": 127.88122247403115 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 1106307.5441081903, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.33564384690948, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.556275498778735 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 1747562.9249928715, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.96357299557293, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.67187150118352 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 80855.8379135117, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.37322308930068, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.87317398018378 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 13305.99306400225, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.54355924400271, "cagr_3y_pct": -77.08830920727947 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 33499.24897544119, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.76060752706496, "cagr_3y_pct": -73.23704383720593 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 13520.104950731276, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.64057295540246, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.907870425796695 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 28868.320008549905, "yoy_growth_pct": 113.52141949895494, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.456761768803517 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 89371.08957316932, "yoy_growth_pct": 209.58188611841754, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.6928249153637 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 22972.868496382773, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.29496651982231, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.328739906996837 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 13267.604085681636, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.24663721132297, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.82849010213066 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 49672.53830306265, "yoy_growth_pct": 274.38966359170394, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.780827740683858 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 177054.37848999226, "yoy_growth_pct": 256.4431867961853, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.52882554390811 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 33066.78628698892, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.32393755579562, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.58131080603788 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 144142.24694980012, "yoy_growth_pct": 335.9124763403967, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.63462942838421 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 234374.4569751381, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.59941962522815, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.799712399630733 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 233669.50952318677, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.30077827637424726, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.8978104552352 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 119571.74848580762, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.82869026010317, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.039403743794114 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 139695.25141123246, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.829646785514196, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.842959419340652 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 135340.06310703873, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.117635181007694, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.64312159417667 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "export_value_usd": 188746.17275695023, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.46068032174131, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.434904523678174 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10794281.086544033, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.284804258975125, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1822080003874897, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GMB", "distance_km": 5019, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2078.0706840000003, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 835.594421571596, "importer_population": 2486.937, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 49.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }