{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.350Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bulgaria exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "GBR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 678,
    "current_lane_count": 560,
    "current_product_count": 560,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 806431909.3678018,
    "attention_trade_usd": 172722206.6365808,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 510985039.4918783,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 145723992.82988584,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 4758971.4085609745,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 164564767.62122205,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 43,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 408,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 207,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 6,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 154,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2283967499249502,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.590234615557836,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 141.10437579310053,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 5.255701895491636,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 14.622897438553917,
    "top_product_hs6": "120600",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 42383657.14649295,
    "top_product_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "120600",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2019.3408203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2561206519603729,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 21.418076917614222,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 159069026.11541617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 159099269.8552921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.019012966015141686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 134733498.68567967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.314822746687772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 118633197.3461975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.949738926503073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.314008753246593
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 103826483.55030103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.481088031950494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.261217965801652
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 133382839.17920454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.467067956302582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3352786877194869
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 147565195.17911807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.632819099658718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.545580237425198
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 270562711.3496582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.35130517819115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.611036396110805
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 207208176.90499562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.415841055343044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.816110931377935
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 266488058.4338748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.608852418048556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.77681337596258
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 291245861.6623665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.290398742064099,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.485857744601505
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 363437868.1544752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.787307218737055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.59827492350319
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 459679214.1554921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.48082504163012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.92941203232723
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 447989004.38322484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.543123424395888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.434563173368065
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 294661147.1619126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.225808160717804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.7538521045294
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 364898153.3397746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.836534559905044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.408255538530595
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 481733358.98720247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.01857958942227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.450273522804025
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 452599197.47701037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.047777461673787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.379938044539943
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 584339744.1897165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.107551990168478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.994268633912334
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 591172386.8219261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1692928129823255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.06211198466089
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 578440631.5651352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1536451195285577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.52130409708558
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 577746952.1033694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.11992232632223043,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.377505441281456
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 631850032.5690178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.364494311684112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.242930931655973
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 724085799.6529292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.597730842695867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.773109378988852
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 734328724.9783999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4146010500938333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.322236446295017
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 666077498.016073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.294369761217569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.774017068756617
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 472229706.5380049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.10288848601674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.279636199757816
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 714651046.6482233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.335470165028354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9013269956337777
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 900347056.4464788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.984151379779874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.567730552284349
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 885436624.4058176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.656076057993705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.310878750348408
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "120600",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56521799.76350523,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.87215574303584,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1489163655526802,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "740710",
      "hs_description": "Copper: bars, rods and profiles, of refined copper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 129712814.96064582,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6908587808851627,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13688188734.293102,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.412992746661644,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1816783069610228,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "190532",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: waffles and wafers, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 462466050.76520693,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7942533142139611,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "330749",
      "hs_description": "Perfumes and deodorizors: perfuming or deodorizing preparations for rooms, (excluding those which operate by burning)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 262682392.7906329,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.16656610225363,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9496691338205331,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "691010",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic sinks, wash basins, wash basin pedestals, baths, bidets, water closet pans, flushing cisterns, urinals and similar sanitary fixtures: of porcelain or china",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 243197979.05519962,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.674429721915227,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2595308553.710167,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6978120416264255,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 569031217.3726126,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.58094096751583,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2957385564056136,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "180632",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, (not filled), weighing 2kg or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 708903720.2273583,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.443584178787841,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "040690",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1299852708.5303922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.6581859483049255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5579420546413267,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "GBR",
    "distance_km": 2019,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "importer_population": 67326.569,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GBR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GBR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GBR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GBR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-GBR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}