{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.659Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bulgaria exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 247,
    "current_lane_count": 171,
    "current_product_count": 171,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 224636512.099254,
    "attention_trade_usd": 105205935.56273656,
    "critical_trade_usd": 39760821.75246429,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 86926988.55896915,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 62628339.17847578,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 66524.77984982492,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 125287029.22220999,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 89,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 60,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 89,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0468626263378618,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.385624870788636,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 731.0457640581338,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 22.074989187180243,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 35.14232051484455,
    "top_product_hs6": "721420",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 49588485.756369166,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "260300",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7729.7734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.22341616451740265,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.07370143098182,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.760714751967677,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.75233529657778,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
    "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 46.83385375759933,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 17.70007083038053,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051,
    "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 36260302.24702123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 31634800.022154626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.756380775194964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 52301478.68650928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.32893727755913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 29279204.99942546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.01839922170731,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.880074426469884
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 31696447.086303525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.255832379757223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.06491486518014344
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 37523230.68044668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.383081164516348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.478211130696891
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 31823539.030807167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.189767901860362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.816558948728054
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 36044292.12857384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.262990937873775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.377920184147821
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 40994479.75440299,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.73362419817068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.993160504935899
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 55083796.07095016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.36881355966936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.06740625568437
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 71661792.67247479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.095958855434546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.74297244106516
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 84294496.83277388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.628227942937436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.16217506752954
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 94904130.28097676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.586389203141701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.88193675821781
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 86232300.73428309,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.137462743738888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.363862955076449
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 81387477.42385331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.618339379994808,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1630226902490715
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 52931581.080359176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.96348239828132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.685454538836765
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 137446418.96342805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.6680774654377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.81209650061739
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 179173158.75638357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.358549977252025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.088364629304422
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 160204949.54771382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.586523863465658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.65063826118434
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 89844986.72551237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.91871975294131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.21324039662085
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 93789291.85834259,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.39012267304415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.407721270458357
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 99261975.95449638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.8350841420357735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.748441158804726
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 104737899.75608496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.516637915911371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.2454519413130285
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 136960753.90230292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.765228461959794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.452558364385636
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 144816431.29066354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.735714184199248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.417039877487413
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 217787589.70864058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.3887285217762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.636951385528285
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 146044395.07401767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.94181947217562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1636150706665136
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 174840044.81696784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.717052289720584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.481547973200663
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 220291992.2616994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.996302787678395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3818497035849022
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 256317097.19176057,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.353342924632752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.623213417381294
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 359364741.81596035,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.232920098583572,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7108294579608047,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 755703524.9280146,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.105404297777014,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8049194121765575,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "261690",
      "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98079548.44496666,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.88105418156532,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5866821258279947,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "871160",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with auxiliary motor, with electric motor for propulsion, with or without side-cars: side-cars",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 259011308.21008238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4707567028151431,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "250200",
      "hs_description": "Iron pyrites: unroasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12711670.576549603,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1843747906.070782,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5214564608497472,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "120600",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37312006.70626146,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.149528141768116,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3947749136038388,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7905119753.1495495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.19450927244832,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.827128431925877,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "740929",
      "hs_description": "Copper: plates and sheets, of a thickness exceeding 0.15mm, of copper-zinc base alloys (brass), not in coils",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12975696.041957928,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.34303821323092,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6459549760048913,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "151219",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96812145.09599218,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2294796406328428,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "distance_km": 7741,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "importer_population": 38246.109,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.07370143098182,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.760714751967677,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.75233529657778
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-CAN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-CAN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-CAN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-CAN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-CAN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}