{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.371Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bulgaria exports to Bosnia and Herzegovina: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bulgaria to Bosnia and Herzegovina, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BIH",
    "country_name": "Bosnia and Herzegovina"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "BIH",
    "all_history_lane_count": 137,
    "current_lane_count": 110,
    "current_product_count": 110,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 119949918.94896056,
    "attention_trade_usd": 77216991.22304232,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 95927198.5852448,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10813705.502376938,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 75594886.4347825,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 77,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 35,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 31,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6141478256629778,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.497259763388335,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3023.7583512561423,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.03013924207458,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.88417619258581,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 64809108.228879,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 416.3402099609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.11605100333690643,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.172941827547892,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.450218542145595,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6116595962475098,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.838558945898084,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 80,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22571.512866999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6916,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3263.459,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.651752503504983,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.857893927237747,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1079962878383087,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.522000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.1,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.3743588154475,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22571.512866999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6916,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3263.459
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 8155141.952480739,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 2825260.4133787337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.35608540180826,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 3007089.2519562873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.435825799155426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 7741098.458589027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 157.4282906153514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7218388170960996
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 9017128.964311637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.483842862207855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.23235731954518
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 12870180.529408043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.730358857527406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.36014860002859
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 28641972.66944169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 122.54522851482537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.66787244687055
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 22891664.962960612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.076507204464022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.41737864236254
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 12759115.61153702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.26305106167836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2884858304180171
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 12546459.539335037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6666991559328492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.053793092491325
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 66820645.69094208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 432.585670734037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.9149831020758
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 160262905.86126038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 139.84040292353077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 132.4542442529649
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 33149723.77787816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.31541076225345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.24610617462352
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 71041896.76773131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.30615001124012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0629131523905775
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 52009228.743700035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.7907655763441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.28010822801699
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 39075762.998800375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.867636104806323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.635327794385181
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 51766737.37473337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.47786710223064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.01321234904502
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 45578623.18349459,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.953842380375923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.304041622927269
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 49061675.36408414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.641854749686394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.8810014204380385
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 53696084.084184945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.446087370048218,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2272115069136946
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 66682568.067415275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.185160249060367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.522959621908171
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 75227560.86970922,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.814432691996892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.312981717509766
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 75252974.0589402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.033781753571671125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.907798226980471
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 68094498.89052893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.512547853330755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7008733533716338
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 63333906.17949571,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.991156097185646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.5751222544274786
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 87306992.18249497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.85189868923722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.077190606522297
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 99721645.73767495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.219541006784464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.560109594465452
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 81454109.63528727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.318526501700305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.749075968574417
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 81014246.82362108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.540013037568865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.46268622535859
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 150073263.90310535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.24305265694198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.596485038587215
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1163650016.5955017,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.32973754017211,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.04905827722672,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61447792.35071568,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8612988161711205,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28358960.618889574,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.98864252027994,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.078461182839974,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 309368099.00233746,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.306712087538564,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6165220048555733,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "700529",
      "hs_description": "Glass: float glass and surface ground or polished glass, in sheets, non-wired, (other than coloured throughout the mass (body tinted), opacified, flashed or merely surface ground)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10716508.071910238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.916714649822687,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6556521588103503,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "680911",
      "hs_description": "Plaster, or plaster compositions: boards, sheets, panels, tiles and similar articles, faced or reinforced with paper or paperboard only, not ornamented",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12966930.073297277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2533833191863413,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "721661",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: angles, shapes and sections, cold-formed or cold-finished, obtained from flat-rolled products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12870650.068968737,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.285265521055013,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1597906838443068,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "851610",
      "hs_description": "Heaters: electric, instantaneous or storage water and immersion heaters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13329167.69947964,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.337117020541516,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.731281052770785,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "391620",
      "hs_description": "Vinyl chloride polymers: monofilament, of which any cross-sectional dimension exceeds 1mm, rods, sticks and profile shapes, whether or not surface-worked but not otherwise worked",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55956310.395396836,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0380136023716497,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "180631",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32772078.40002782,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.032199747544983,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "importer_iso3": "BIH",
    "distance_km": 423,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22571.512866999998,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6916.4383149903215,
    "importer_population": 3263.459,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 80,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.172941827547892,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.450218542145595,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6116595962475098,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.838558945898084
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-BIH/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-BIH/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-BIH/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-BIH/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGR-BIH/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}