{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.642Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Bangladesh exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Bangladesh to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BGD",
    "country_name": "Bangladesh"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 256,
    "current_lane_count": 199,
    "current_product_count": 199,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1400671310.4730864,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1328353089.7596755,
    "critical_trade_usd": 62796869.84628456,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1215491908.0813675,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 188266826.97572446,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 16583202.839263717,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 704763307.1764938,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1400671310.4730864,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 100,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 122,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 85,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 12,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 141,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1804706759499843,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.6967763358242,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 486.69985229971275,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.10597692018937,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 30.941916709823463,
    "top_product_hs6": "620342",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 169564945.57358584,
    "top_product_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "620342",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4903.568359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0023999998811632395,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4000114753401134,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.9304438374693893,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8952486713070297,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.0351951661623593,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.83688855674606,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.48334090780188,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 128057571.32081813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 143661150.09530348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.184815480682708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 120387776.5995827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.200185979495107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 106396971.87316152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.621449553766139,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.9898665962020425
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 110961698.18235284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.290278406262393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.248905868147915
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 98365591.19512996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.351761187470855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.512487507643227
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 93420373.5495772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.02738567975749,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.242945812509746
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 96794829.71847712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6121201839437234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.450954016837194
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 119489010.33387019,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.44565374142189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.699303838901782
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 130679950.79202797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.365665032197201,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.83793019692525
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 145403537.3155974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.266905469685584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.526925973968474
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 154248015.93767095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.08271214398084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.88395167486664
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 167750412.0599214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.753691929305951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.680479147700693
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 180682284.46542215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.708995910472871,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.50950616891064
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 247465954.51722056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.96193583637086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.06631756128809
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 369402928.7025784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.274242359214135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.10048419710167
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 548856878.1916735,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.57946040638483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.82643689615837
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 671108025.160683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.27377515460718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.45229239159094
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 825645461.5884154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.027207339791754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.74680587082803
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 859615004.8880776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.114301462314107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.131033809707173
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 991626019.8223033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.356992861172024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.898628323862594
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1113948407.3377361,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.335536287899407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.498697706372928
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1149779232.2141018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.216560537305213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.180183357740024
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1357245694.989028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.044025927952532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.029108566886281
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1344150547.6142097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9648324856115442,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.461916215689989
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1166878463.0549822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.188409949605372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.49328771595864573
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1392079400.993288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.29943392293929,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8482836839897478
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1627040912.9603314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.878456200083967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.573735096065292
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1494473967.8950777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.147732734271184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.59777069430856
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1420518987.292769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.948562650875221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6764002436783434
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "620342",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 547225237.42117,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.01735623825527,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0253993448592629,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1398912092.4697602,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.31559728819894,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1053910103191127,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "611020",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1345857572.1363373,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.278801648664113,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "611030",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2165830302.9437375,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.69483120452588,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.216285512480132,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "620462",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 602237269.172649,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.137637125758316,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "620343",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 761370672.9374027,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6248900490338753,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "610990",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 912006621.0068623,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.70040980295697,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1214337722692944,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "620193",
      "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 524484918.2204757,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8854957522960957,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "420291",
      "hs_description": "Cases and containers: with outer surface of leather, of composition leather or of patent leather, n.e.s. in heading no. 4202",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 436637127.17635673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2055710755977966,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "610610",
      "hs_description": "Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 135654644.94220287,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.335492614852859,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BGD",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "distance_km": 4897,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "importer_population": 125681.595,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 416264.942893,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2503.0438349291,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4000114753401134,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.9304438374693893,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8952486713070297,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.0351951661623593
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGD-JPN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGD-JPN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGD-JPN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGD-JPN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BGD-JPN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}