{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.822Z", "seo": { "title": "Benin exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Benin to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BEN", "country_name": "Benin" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "all_history_lane_count": 105, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1777074.6523720438, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1323349.2694765655, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 883989.8261502349, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1669733.6506456675, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1777074.6523720438, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6062083870295767, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.83051969549621, "product_concentration_hhi": 2020.7236004815752, "top1_product_share_pct": 36.19890707984537, "top3_product_share_pct": 66.38608527032413, "top_product_hs6": "151190", "top_product_trade_usd": 643281.6021516412, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 105.18057250976562, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.9855409139596, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 27.203475916565655, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085, "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085, "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 21850051.943735637, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 2070541.2490154647, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.52386120478269, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 6604248.742022598, "yoy_growth_pct": 218.9624328983012, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 12691794.470127996, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.17620301565206, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.563351244814694 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 16500235.619394487, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.00711332215642, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.7417051366362 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 74266931.51324111, "yoy_growth_pct": 350.09618787471896, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.03920322320654 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 38239472.85426855, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.510767746677665, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.431843785260504 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 14709961.842781855, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.53199627295639, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7559699348325037 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 10518951.653829657, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.490965739715477, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.87344870671717 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 15397323.612568688, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.37697861234062, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.156697126718964 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 64032833.43437412, "yoy_growth_pct": 315.8698943114031, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.279022284181764 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 195737596.18572494, "yoy_growth_pct": 205.68317172210132, "cagr_3y_pct": 164.99271238931686 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 22576206.746181592, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.46608562375506, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.60616823218599 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 65502149.3751021, "yoy_growth_pct": 190.13797628417254, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7590994205539658 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 87401971.13965066, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.43374526404907, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.56675016758204 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 12911748.533763176, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.22716551422758, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.993641467649113 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 16377703.135242213, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.843417778899937, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.00117038929395 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 36638295.55559514, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.70838726924629, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.159270598348606 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 6421944.206992976, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.47204431972473, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.769239786576332 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 63593526.233749755, "yoy_growth_pct": 890.2534837425334, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.17614668412225 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 9813357.633835746, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.5686216584925, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.53943295961995 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 35118090.05778924, "yoy_growth_pct": 257.8600858966416, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.17926210394657 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 68339146.39563243, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.59812957702329, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4280443666458984 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 374500204.34703135, "yoy_growth_pct": 448.00246139885314, "cagr_3y_pct": 236.67547191796038 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 12226950.426732594, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.73512850332054, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.650272252578482 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 16818767.166424915, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.55488146621522, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.33262027479921 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 12272446.581376813, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.03123564326321, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.99928388333178 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 7881386.658255195, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.779825106633275, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.617024190255156 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 5372612.748152067, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.831630890426688, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.640775596005845 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 221329038.86001882, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.18114005717541, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.1026351286620484, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "150710", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, crude, whether or not degummed, not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18097003.20033614, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19607859.070164517, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.26356997260956, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0078897856035485, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "847910", "hs_description": "Machinery and mechanical appliances: for public works, building or the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44926467.14306881, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0601964533034185, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77477760.89014548, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.522098635670078, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "847989", "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: n.e.s. in item no. 8479.8, having individual functions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74221656.42112336, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2765225501835527, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45771461.42164224, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1895268426203576, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "851310", "hs_description": "Lamps: portable, electric, designed to function by their own source of energy (excluding lighting equipment of heading no. 8512)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40801295.30744062, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.27663472770247, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.430939976609979, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "842940", "hs_description": "Tamping machines and road rollers: self-propelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16150025.12262087, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.11786033711407, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9463198371614956, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14509708.09225303, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.009591887514443, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.506762453881775, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BEN", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "distance_km": 115, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "importer_population": 211400.711, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17785.640079, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1428.44717670368, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.9855409139596, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 27.203475916565655 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEN-NGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEN-NGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEN-NGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEN-NGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEN-NGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }