{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.966Z", "seo": { "title": "Belgium exports to Tajikistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Belgium to Tajikistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BEL", "country_name": "Belgium" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TJK", "country_name": "Tajikistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "all_history_lane_count": 17, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1319255.4382185284, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1045723.6271732133, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 26745.546508213538, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 991303.2969643192, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6413062286350402, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.8233574184667696, "product_concentration_hhi": 2291.778798124824, "top1_product_share_pct": 29.07828492965579, "top3_product_share_pct": 74.67096811099215, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 383616.8552751628, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5103.845703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609194, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609194, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8746.270636, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 897, "buyer_population_latest": 9749.625, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.342641385471342, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.016690878247392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.133572839613729, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8746.270636, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 897, "buyer_population_2024": 9749.625 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1537495.6628572457, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2330180.160400497, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.556860724416296, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2419088.8598415414, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8155289857829455, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2361650.943123383, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.374361590087304, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.38090374912744 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1548997.5648637766, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.410393315145804, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.725558508585678 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1613486.3207384963, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.163257408373711, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.628225659571568 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1153649.844092907, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.499558424215287, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.24355556456141 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1578830.9601843038, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.855300442198626, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6379155761555566 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2795877.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.08532898757095, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.11142228912317 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2655947, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.004903647440962, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.042923378531164 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2086268.276519377, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.44917513341279, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.734917141280807 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 2716020.5386835923, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.18558395638655, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9612969773028945 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1818766.9040155227, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.03559829127628, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.857395444335506 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 3433736.416584325, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.7947492888302, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.068016336446146 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 5337526.007047435, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.443672999131536, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.257090075103193 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 6320217.018326529, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.41098310306295, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.4671019552918 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 3755306.6588905915, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.582631134319435, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0289999347149266 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 3626224.905066338, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4373159251497087, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.090007285015325 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 7945883.9949811, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.12275722003898, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.928649575860258 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 4564663.241995, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.55310995128796, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.722120353216066 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 5753148.348102812, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.03664373690753, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.631791199602965 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 4152952.1588519355, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.814269551706683, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.448882605240758 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 9028490.66138807, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.39934186682164, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.52651454162369 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 12424349.60417609, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.612698181225454, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.2575828419529 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 16595467.8138843, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.572125242726656, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.68803792361928 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 6388098.74410697, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.506967952042416, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.891563725732356 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101553320.88740566, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.182241613583829, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50814704.02701543, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4453316844991753, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870360", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11069273.366900451, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48772403800137076, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25707425.788423885, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2315698255485503, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17756831.27913964, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1231335968106015, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14587827.208548961, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.93924238525705, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5031812140077374, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BEL", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "distance_km": 5113, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8746.270636000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 897.0879019449467, "importer_population": 9749.625, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609194, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609194, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-TJK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-TJK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-TJK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-TJK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-TJK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }