{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.758Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belgium exports to Republic of Moldova: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belgium to Republic of Moldova, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BEL",
    "country_name": "Belgium"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MDA",
    "country_name": "Republic of Moldova"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "MDA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 78,
    "current_lane_count": 75,
    "current_product_count": 75,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2014,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 35621738.582605876,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1521642.4431106457,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 17071456.042275447,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6489196.742014189,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6834320.700508886,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 42,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 26,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 33,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1733404035178245,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.676481409324236,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 556.1608787530854,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 16.77730025979826,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 30.799064973921396,
    "top_product_hs6": "870120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5976366.039764192,
    "top_product_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1831.6688232421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.604217566984674,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.81252829624521,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.802888979693487,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.0096393165517235,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13679.221333000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5315,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2573.928,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.170672417488102,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.45369402374179,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -2.048403712637259,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.576,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.6899999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 4.271668098349543,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13679.221333000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5315,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2573.928
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 4967815.580740593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 8411298.592158917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.31583822813678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 14557938.243806267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.07598921024274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 15321999.508971974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.248416721995497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.562663251581206
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 21359449.24898254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.4037980256772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.42972383087073
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 26195785.22494544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.642606181398996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.630880159016264
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 34795191.351163305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.82744171390179,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.442132079171326
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 41309080.68430646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.720659608976042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.59056632868699
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 41431746.7118361,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.29694688310080153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.51109234369428
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 38710123.18741828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.568932619102719,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6179767713979682
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 27139542.42911989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.890322751695887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.066800505155829
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 34679334.4181267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.781573726596243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.757708616685154
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 45252161.44477177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.487398919394202,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.342816289883157
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 36400924.59106167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.559810119816344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.281660831348427
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 38075940.68136626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.601575671833058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1636333515895565
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 38131234.67105449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.14522028530024045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.547415362599706
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 29726158.48023541,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.042496822688495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.5293079989135805
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 28579147.08183618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8585927581657242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.120441753507313
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 35964964.46244075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.84337929839311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9307345074804472
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 40342618.983528525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.171997349419005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.715501923061677
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 38650482.799121074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.194413320311041,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.586442316202271
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 38941008.60789458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.75167446234361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6855152945596705
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 52149719.876148105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.919797510267124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.93379418684843
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 47782786.89801969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.37383784323209,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.3261418373194775
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 49988258.55646985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.6156195601507966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.680994501635775
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 63904571.667850934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.839163662123468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.010563118056545
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "870120",
      "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33877359.81687071,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9072253786236425,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19457564.464680817,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3579117120888053,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "870331",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75234966.19584137,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.120477093626372,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 211055220.69338828,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5398694469428268,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "843351",
      "hs_description": "Combine harvester-threshers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14003256.636574922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.770663510526234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9057928996998097,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "380893",
      "hs_description": "Herbicides, anti-sprouting products and plant-growth regulators: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27589681.601813003,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5167951806144822,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 647627526.6365045,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1812903706032725,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66051387.274430774,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.51328019698753,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7955606775509312,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29745371.065303117,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7734975594529105,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "380892",
      "hs_description": "Fungicides: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30171915.408321835,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.21013298391598,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0462733306574967,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "MDA",
    "distance_km": 1837,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973,
    "importer_population": 2573.928,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.604217566984674,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.81252829624521,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.802888979693487,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.0096393165517235
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-MDA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-MDA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-MDA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-MDA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-MDA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}