{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.628Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belgium exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belgium to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BEL",
    "country_name": "Belgium"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 510,
    "current_lane_count": 487,
    "current_product_count": 487,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 889186816.2141228,
    "attention_trade_usd": 263707119.5764216,
    "critical_trade_usd": 97082590.1820579,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 436258541.3486003,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 293424985.60201937,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 285283153.20760846,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 34,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 251,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 252,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 129,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0820593585110565,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.300472425096224,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 371.10928430427276,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.888513041910688,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 28.127124620757023,
    "top_product_hs6": "870120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 114602958.77470763,
    "top_product_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "291736",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 1469.4339599609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3168283158865903,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613029,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.29484943869731794,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.229386730363985,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 29.657110830680484,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 10.91813198439052,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 108177879.79293568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 108826374.66102609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.599470861632434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 135220829.79980722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.253730054864864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 154183820.84290627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.02372036259023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.538238425406867
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 180688136.97264138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.19007609542875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.41275696305571
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 244143440.10664564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.11868803186135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.76818170149277
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 316862391.18542093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.785338916749325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.13856262413321
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 440457367.13347006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.005883748356894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.58337429646401
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 669010955.413688,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.89005913731493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.9359788331344
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 750686212.1149814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.208358628565197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.30995484659673
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 525686818.4644913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.972495833722245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.07370448427933
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 656214847.4072505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.829998462587668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.641672074801225
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 851671454.5944633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.785459435956852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.296856098592228
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 826285887.2880875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.980676077544897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.27002057292588
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 961489307.3775212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.36278946179006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.579373501856695
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 961975080.5089294,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.050522988418166825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.143118188039452
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 699040722.4587083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.332761874779187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.421872007697937
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 723683551.9304324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5252351801550175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.036307576355407
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 890428415.2552643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.041129355508836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5432937159119873
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 944471094.3524184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.069289588165416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.550844592099384
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 755711535.6072193,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.985742271405684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.453986454216949
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 705322388.4632403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.667775304434254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.474192016564684
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 969035213.6694562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.38897694440051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8595352775754517
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 988589339.946183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.01789635721088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.367081721064373
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 995215633.6074033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6702776768340524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.161335911678117
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1046488075.0774624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.151892689246607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5962707313817557
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870120",
      "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 599484084.0569172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.507739772026177,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0455986284722865,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "291736",
      "hs_description": "Acids: aromatic polycarboxylic acids: terephthalic acid and its salts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 504401531.94489324,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.59217473018386,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8590923109799745,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 415072856.74838,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.778975712211308,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4337373171977685,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "290531",
      "hs_description": "Alcohols: acyclic, diols: ethylene glycol (ethanediol)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78074668.34157014,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.54463263923739,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47024260507975035,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41233045.395548835,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.514162653913104,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3711004766011057,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.44425051593566,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5772521532507489,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 330518408.6026105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.46111255244605,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7215730556417524,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "180620",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate & other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars weighing more than 2kg or in liquid, paste, powder, granular or other bulk form in containers or immediate packings, content exceeding 2kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65772259.837348446,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8358543779455371,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870423",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106910800.23966001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3417013245506193,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198663832.07223356,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.30149995073957,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6145809769654363,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 1470,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3168283158865903,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613029,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.29484943869731794,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.229386730363985
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}