{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.614Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belgium exports to Libya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belgium to Libya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BEL",
    "country_name": "Belgium"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBY",
    "country_name": "Libya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "LBY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 151,
    "current_lane_count": 122,
    "current_product_count": 122,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 437605129.3820846,
    "attention_trade_usd": 393171980.5851904,
    "critical_trade_usd": 221194312.89472312,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 337051824.2656393,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 238458672.71069014,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 99373165.96452895,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 437605129.3820846,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 19,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 69,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 70,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 67,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7796925264317374,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.31587973554362,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1911.1319469965479,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 38.27171172128497,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.8918227570738,
    "top_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 167478973.59466755,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 2138.25244140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 41879.579677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6018,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6958.538,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -6.881549959886857,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -7.99269776368906,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2076734963365698,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 10.702,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -16.1,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.84629159634497,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 50.54655396911322,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 41879.579677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6018,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6958.538
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 107669490.96414931,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 74052427.51670544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.22245972040245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 98270901.76711047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.704497425073065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 116701697.11015679,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.755089260018142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.721535804015107
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 87362136.87332253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.14064573468896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.664227636032471
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 119457834.88246381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.7386824061789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.724279758507801
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 120543717.97024617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9090095169151269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.085563615830365
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 161458712.93075582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.9420383321914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.71926512847442
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 153153836.83456862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.143653102046519,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.635328194845716
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 180570371.3120795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.901304364398808,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.419655601529957
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 210868982.94186065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.77939265983792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.307611793780612
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 215216120.73644492,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0615349559412577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.00798193800905
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 49466601.10668189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.01538298459573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.05358352208049
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 199836005.59667784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 303.981678801223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7753826475354728
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 167812871.51948693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.024706849786675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.9585419186104955
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 174448003.68197045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9538875072005597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.21284769472558
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 110421768.84346405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.70218832382296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.940855205441387
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 102184493.2725494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.459829395227269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.24085335393115
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 107904991.84666942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.598206137659401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.796288970100491
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 185672464.90548992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.07032012877248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.91343768715339
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 244418299.7789054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.63949749001178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.73638335823732
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 200054027.981377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.15096162507438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.848140728593158
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 304460720.7233221,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.18924797238489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.921932937798047
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 906305273.574869,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 197.67559881672608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.77955585618142
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 378253880.80170053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.26418627029501,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.655099373017286
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 476712522.77227426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.02977708038128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.12037503829211
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2136900211.7010562,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.94309790006685,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.525499587800732,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 627989978.9066768,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.86066658196262,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.210607113231435,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1480241404.5761802,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.35853081648682,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2562382370927914,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "040711",
      "hs_description": "Birds' eggs, in shell: fresh, fertilised eggs for incubation, of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus (domestic hens)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49179917.99412918,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8999818991627656,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53287240.27737935,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.80477195095694,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "200410",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: potatoes, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15152700.94133781,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9394789419528475,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 255906849.84206384,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.874813692591026,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6022569482353779,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "040790",
      "hs_description": "Birds' eggs, in shell: preserved or cooked",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20135472.293309204,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.837768822154349,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6641631738645541,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125065640.65218136,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2484228057547833,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72299668.13464907,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.30740727790043,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8901782769781352,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "LBY",
    "distance_km": 2123,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935,
    "importer_population": 6958.538,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LBY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LBY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LBY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LBY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-LBY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}