{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.282Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belgium exports to Guinea-Bissau: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belgium to Guinea-Bissau, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BEL",
    "country_name": "Belgium"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GNB",
    "country_name": "Guinea-Bissau"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "GNB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 153040.94400000002,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 33337.978,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 33337.978,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 153040.94400000002,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7236910428444802,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.1350735302142,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6592.319327588489,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 78.21630138402699,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 119702.966,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4702.21044921875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1638.517533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 813,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2015.49,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.804310581834683,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.4341371903675375,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2695389220736217,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 10.187999999999999,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 1.9460000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1638.517533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 813,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2015.49
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 1405858.4191141615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2831134.8933151606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.38122408507346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2633628.1724948324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.976238443695449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2367153.013314251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.118176968320858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.96747622393371
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2124730.263983955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.241110226790095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.12430460708955
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3101393.322716956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.966449261268494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.600861869446794
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5523364.976466546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.09301825760807,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.63530386218747
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4099933.4410666963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.771093191644546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.496650589126713
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 1602334.0000000002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.91804847487684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.75855636640862
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2690755.999773425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.92728605730296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.31531838517683
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 1906836.0000000002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.133819634312243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.521920792568583
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3090088.044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.05316262122174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.47226771177622
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5641348.321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.56270503210297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.988082569288196
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4687066.698999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.915842945695715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.957159965807996
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 1625632.601240125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.31663179474363,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.273303212055993
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5341933.986192085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 228.60647492655804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8014216625140245
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 1736147.8263801313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.49963906578115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.182791154631836
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3258764.513814103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.70086649871445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.08890099866812
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4707442.049485823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.45480885564721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.1271829524025305
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4069909.764531635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.543072400090905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.841170357128476
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3552902.334461516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.703166900055752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9224455503280566
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2837281.444748493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.141867756167397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.529354717433307
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 7735097.722999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 172.62356144882438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.86834683173886
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 9385418.630999992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.335488795349413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.23673249487764
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 6299465.477000002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.880293094301635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.456911951542498
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5893659.144999997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.441916913135659,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.664473459532108
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56263676.26674381,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.7876069302604,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6455968388515145,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11220133.245000001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.87915850742564,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0040952066893014,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "GNB",
    "distance_km": 4688,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1638.5175330000002,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 812.9623729217213,
    "importer_population": 2015.49,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 88.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-GNB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-GNB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-GNB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-GNB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-GNB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}