{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.588Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Belgium exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Belgium to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BEL",
    "country_name": "Belgium"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3045,
    "current_lane_count": 2991,
    "current_product_count": 2991,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 53078935394.096634,
    "attention_trade_usd": 19421814140.086475,
    "critical_trade_usd": 7724229945.8959675,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12164278953.47381,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 20796846527.155567,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 175255113.3505379,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20868951863.437874,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 37,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 428,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 774,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1934,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 61,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 860,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7735879557763604,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.783321385372815,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 159.2816240027487,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 9.102235237797059,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 17.794748183683165,
    "top_product_hs6": "271121",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4831369561.288999,
    "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271121",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 196.8760986328125,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802,
    "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 36.59043648084649,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 14.55234527321557,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802,
    "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 27792076090.038906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 27649457722.49744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5131619785417318,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 30181940630.77779,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.159249825792259,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 33042675374.30972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.47829955180124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.937910935136292
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 42957341471.39945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.00563963049514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.820008550389698
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 48523296016.36983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.956934377971518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.147864875006324
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 48815086735.90232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6013415070444728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.891930354564398
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 54931122281.24793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.528986332513092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.540968392711012
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 65011740464.51118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.351378534831998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.242021064184591
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 70735473597.33107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.80415305285418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.160380762254832
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 56373086969.62932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.304362008602794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8674670424837938
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 44880581997.045364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.386509929419827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.619681486179513
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 55289875413.66223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.19331201476431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.883778535487873
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 49411859192.21378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.631270512857727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.2982691106660535
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 51062304005.66619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.340179544817623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.395226834289634
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 50761987268.70548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5881378500417478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8078920308322597
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 38847734565.24457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.470816145147243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.705001410747425
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 39993168158.20558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.948520951813194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.82174816856781
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 43624516847.93832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.079922539189166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.92550993358093
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 53627630284.31415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.930026872833032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.345918715955339
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 48814507166.665085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.975080741273922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.86964496271385
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 43012217311.9868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.886404660130644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4700619500842995
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 62398941689.83587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.072599343643475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.179121504450235
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 86968086877.83008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.37429790094704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.228203460157257
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 61296980548.992256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.51784643130043,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.533652992596235
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 53349887979.018105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.964900552682778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.088516278955635
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271121",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20034091006.181595,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.76380857733588,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.768549543428232,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19171045683.569923,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.576937613465958,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4930559920090889,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3166260880.149118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.9279100315594,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8162517127236593,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14854187460.351685,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.791506527397537,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5487787160437365,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11474635439.624712,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.08855915436467,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47556754972792004,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26433358483.570984,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.04580441087417,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9632572185351888,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3670237216.9740987,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.23152410008755,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8450730310642595,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7316533211.452538,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.36535175558146,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3331654185916985,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271020",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1759218491.7007473,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.34479547938648,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5316748789002685,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "711299",
      "hs_description": "Waste and scrap of precious metals: waste and scrap of precious metals including metal clad with precious metals, other than that of gold and platinum and excluding ash which contains precious metal or precious metal compounds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2322042185.4898396,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.098503508141754,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1656453530896695,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BEL",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "distance_km": 653,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "importer_population": 83129.288,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-DEU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-DEU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-DEU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-DEU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BEL-DEU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}