{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.008Z", "seo": { "title": "Burundi exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Burundi to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BDI", "country_name": "Burundi" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "all_history_lane_count": 5, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 500336.7159988098, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 500336.7159988098, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 500336.7159988098, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7216746759992639, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.251102044822616, "product_concentration_hhi": 9418.588918301202, "top1_product_share_pct": 97.00313243977044, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 485342.28726512357, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3583.3740234375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994, "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994, "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 40597.376218964964, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 49466.00750823916, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.845331189485194, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 90583.42678769975, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.12257517975749, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 446493.58071344055, "yoy_growth_pct": 392.90868820837056, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.38513341096002 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 197224.1453780595, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.828223764623864, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.568800603628276 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 394716.46481800353, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.13597425475997, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.33484026403833 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 349638.23800745263, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.420407008188938, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.827528124522054 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 2733523.8933043573, "yoy_growth_pct": 681.8149150054038, "cagr_3y_pct": 140.20807185684552 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 26214.81354769413, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.04098831504982, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.503218371567435 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 19819.640182474493, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.395265499731778, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.58575685478341 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 172400.14053591155, "yoy_growth_pct": 769.8449565616042, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.194943284087586 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 263464.4241203307, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.821467141118816, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.80345944282477 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 554051.1771680817, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.29449384598236, "cagr_3y_pct": 203.4948822272232 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 227324.89467205343, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.970415723331236, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.657025436420842 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 278545.54215498455, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.53191299475745, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8727611458451365 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 92421.76894586714, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.81987145411105, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.952010132957795 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 277957.06716829503, "yoy_growth_pct": 200.7484820281884, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9326281044089555 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 133699.59528312006, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.89919197047479, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.703089306323363 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 324173.93977265095, "yoy_growth_pct": 142.4644136627232, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.938537183252585 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 458778.31532558455, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.52226907793208, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.1793836274476 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 218548.0720684905, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.363033568098814, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.79828355124151 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 518595.00854340335, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.29104706120742, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.954448245658416 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 293499.56462171633, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.40486125269906, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.834212868076968 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 855402.0412417123, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.44916870463396, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.59451603462087 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 768902.3865428307, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.112163699459675, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.02873125758386 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99246737.63081378, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7358205351116149, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "850239", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: (excluding those with spark-ignition or compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines), other than wind powered", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10118750.666214831, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.74699147288259, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2637990383969798, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BDI", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "distance_km": 2529, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "importer_population": 60041.996, "importer_biz_entry_days": 40, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2902.029386, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 236.79541417929966, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-ZAF/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-ZAF/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-ZAF/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-ZAF/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }