{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.274Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Burundi exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Burundi to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BDI",
    "country_name": "Burundi"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 204026.53122262386,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34070.384029894754,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 204026.53122262386,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 204026.53122262386,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.116458390387213,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.497263569807714,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7217.913621079165,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 83.30100314614535,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "720430",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 169956.1471927291,
    "top_product_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of tinned iron or steel",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 549.2127685546875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.25817616135152,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.6659562826464644,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 12.807197626242427,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858,
    "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858,
    "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1118929.3992860613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 230065.1494297748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.43881449745005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 60250.80625379963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.81141541727048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8005.097900784265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.7137082497059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -80.7312006546046
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 46037.66256024224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 475.10430391778095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.509211448087626
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 68691.52546898475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.20723957064277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.467234831640354
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 249993.91739547692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 263.9370587400231,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 214.9108311154302
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 57143.42319113155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.1420745806652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.469277533519336
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 101477.9126146119,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.58458795020333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.891012721904339
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 86453.98768579992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.80511821904451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.808391303236824
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 657612.9168727769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 660.6507628806461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 125.77093275274956
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 498554.1276189371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.187296990793694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.99922062027126
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1458337.3321506414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 192.5133403499371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 156.46276558508566
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1510118.4760592175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5506972746979892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.931012477765243
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2936672.8215513844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.46638579079449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.59861520434919
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1700742.8172889163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.08606403792546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.259236937120426
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3397122.726829565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.74347045867744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.0287924299979
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2037033.4224448735,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.0365077670898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.478751562539912
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1183568.22224508,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.89745689962483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.382760574273998
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4961746.187079255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 319.2192806315336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.459561983455814
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4176112.1140012452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.833822276598053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.035372360935717
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2827011.8539114734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.30517340678296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.67333328257409
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3861313.220291949,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.586382365160894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.018568868050014
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5740823.189761633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.675408138156094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.19041230349971
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 13628379.674693722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 137.39417195427666,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.9295135757936
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 24606436.384237792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.55291216995528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.39779442008664
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2609400.8056010287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.39545424272595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.11253536718201
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2548234.2732597566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.344083446666345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.81724928163454
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 17386590.394826423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 582.2995270597754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.931959001221703
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3375536.819140827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.58540091825448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.960064699749104
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "720430",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of tinned iron or steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43708551.64410728,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.94969578661567,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9840393090472791,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13782174.47696205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.19389275389123,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7770155728242691,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BDI",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "distance_km": 544,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "importer_population": 47123.531,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2902.029386,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 236.79541417929966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.25817616135152,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.6659562826464644,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 12.807197626242427
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-UGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-UGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-UGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-UGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BDI-UGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}