{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.321Z", "seo": { "title": "Azerbaijan exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Azerbaijan to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "AZE", "country_name": "Azerbaijan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 58, "current_lane_count": 16, "current_product_count": 16, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 131516871.89212579, "attention_trade_usd": 44655960.4675208, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11872438.99060384, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2260623.7886345014, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 25404227.7424283, "access_friction_trade_usd": 131516871.89212579, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 16, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0258290417918476, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 3.673841905891961, "product_concentration_hhi": 3804.772133879355, "top1_product_share_pct": 58.90155032163334, "top3_product_share_pct": 80.02312427672076, "top_product_hs6": "760612", "top_product_trade_usd": 77465476.47897851, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "999999", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 9371.841796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.4380244969348652, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.997941661800767, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6402598882490421, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.357681773551725, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 33.95454881572078, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1071431.0578125585, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3768841.6130575966, "yoy_growth_pct": 251.7577342542311, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5121228.801124751, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.88336488807726, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7516816.947977142, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.77760435788887, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.43583974861471 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 29933686.4763559, "yoy_growth_pct": 298.2229005112514, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.51892968362105 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 17974693.177025884, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.95162209230799, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.97159988197735 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 18553347.33468407, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2192714054100513, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.14379187960823 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 40945411.84530431, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.69015960672486, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.006483735536388 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 32794590.411840595, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.906556232132434, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.193163469417556 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 40004654.96102352, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.985530109196617, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.190154611786223 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 45358509.37233236, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.383078585542352, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4708086784337677 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 474554244.37958574, "yoy_growth_pct": 946.2298054905941, "cagr_3y_pct": 143.68448746939873 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1262944482.1702626, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.13279664612173, "cagr_3y_pct": 216.05153960079258 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4812874105.933958, "yoy_growth_pct": 281.0835847402764, "cagr_3y_pct": 373.42215277893337 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1813868121.3426015, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.3121635551152, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.353142836831196 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1791942774.4037457, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.208761909472611, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.369028341891042 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2265628378.906357, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.434192613110994, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.209232186693516 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1269103541.4156249, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.9844789537711, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.223684604475547 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1016429204.320787, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.909670791162682, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.221478326254303 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 816547045.264321, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.665133410844305, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.83537281037829 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 369020250.3556845, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.807227275406944, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.75022905662222 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 110663863.99533512, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.01143869783016, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.2496860007424 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 119742523.12396352, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.20381541079309, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.26620039689525 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 391945031.92719364, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.3231778500544, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0293190757418866 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 25201749.822367225, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.57008055480375, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.93276048121439 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 33457256.947689455, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.75767430242185, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.624657739221334 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 96401346.72609337, "yoy_growth_pct": 188.13284626655803, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.34544558956863 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 145154201.85192776, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.57279465644462, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.25294739715257 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 48024679.53146183, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.91471626811607, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.804055770568645 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 145733990.0056524, "yoy_growth_pct": 203.45645494662685, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.769348980107356 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "760612", "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3389930597.116264, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9868811032692015, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6148832754.350104, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.996840879566335, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "930630", "hs_description": "Ammunition: cartridges and parts thereof n.e.s. in heading no. 9306", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 850605905.8858843, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.96029042707271, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "720221", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silicon, containing by weight more than 55% of silicon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 248443113.3488362, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.480853823902116, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "391190", "hs_description": "Polysulphides, polysulphones and similar products of chemical synthesis n.e.c. in chapter 39: in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 522398671.7374452, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.50184624818155, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9268909497515229, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "841919", "hs_description": "Heaters: instantaneous or storage water heaters, non-electric, other than gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 590657317.5456005, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7966041021798769, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "761010", "hs_description": "Aluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading no. 9406) and parts of structures, doors, windows and their frames and thresholds for doors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1460859628.2908223, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7424923135911471, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1979253933.8968775, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.88345792117647, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6940178428089991, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "851610", "hs_description": "Heaters: electric, instantaneous or storage water and immersion heaters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 896356593.752699, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.057716718986797, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "051199", "hs_description": "Animal products: n.e.s. in chapter 5", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 704339351.5143373, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8128469945118113, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 9389, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.4380244969348652, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.997941661800767, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6402598882490421, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.357681773551725 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }