{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.253Z", "seo": { "title": "Azerbaijan exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Azerbaijan to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "AZE", "country_name": "Azerbaijan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "all_history_lane_count": 338, "current_lane_count": 185, "current_product_count": 185, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1152076113.2649999, "attention_trade_usd": 660392541.8799996, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 755155338.6549997, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 81851105.07000002, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 673442466.9349996, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 48, "high_volatility_lane_count": 115, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 68, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 139, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.277270555550531, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.707825578483064, "product_concentration_hhi": 592.3837848575557, "top1_product_share_pct": 14.646269205408602, "top3_product_share_pct": 30.68592694089495, "top_product_hs6": "070200", "top_product_trade_usd": 168736169, "top_product_description": "Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled", "top_attention_product_hs6": "081070", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1930.747314453125, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05999999865889549, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.041940638773947, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.425769714942529, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380, "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.32195419002638, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380, "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 59257422.501477405, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 129985726.75990242, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.35771296272905, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 220168170.96821925, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.3787283082961, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 138507105.9277347, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.09031359136472, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.71186913662962 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 84065567.92473936, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.30595303276346, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.521630058050238 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 117974539.56989785, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.33633803023358, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.77720711595343 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 72152589.92413865, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.8405411988156, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.53754301686509 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 78244945.29158764, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.443709884641004, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3633852202942673 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 104704177.65191883, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.81589987919118, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8995901821978873 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 147886057.1698881, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.24179233948448, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.02575020461677 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 221918537.55365223, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.06048697255976, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.55083323385005 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 279944367.26235956, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.14735584884553, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.79353626137254 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 377714074.7152917, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.924691791102845, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.69269707987386 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 450047367.0942554, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.150277212594236, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.577024172229336 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 563224957.6548256, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.147928603894478, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.241860348288792 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 571413716.5638903, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4539055483552055, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.796636704228572 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 913050411.2962537, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.787975827171906, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.5937244024542 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 795189563.2983556, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.9084710482274, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.183657070596743 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 881087542.5620253, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.802201541400347, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.528588310979053 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 622934068.5243741, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.299412551787174, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.966268867765805 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 422178798.0932213, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.2273705316372, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.02668564905643 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 411741011.5841022, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4723616051449238, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.398814595068693 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 620819479.2144558, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.77912127965112, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.11328039579542315 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 690612021.3191025, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.242002617726744, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.827294268965098 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 760655649.5213166, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.142254412025341, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.70285165859649 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 736031108.1571203, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2372784425768186, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.838484273402456 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 935517501.9583551, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.102984043800827, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.646902610903552 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 975977986.2199041, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.324930765790214, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.663571623807776 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1197036040.2518196, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.64990165281324, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.599015344697698 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1177864135.4000003, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6016146721686053, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.9811032723076325 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "070200", "hs_description": "Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 443640464.24697804, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.819212787417518, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1779134954362287, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "081070", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: persimmons, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 151022259.3533158, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.526502039583747, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8105981159367405, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 204721807.12629998, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.790185670644691, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2212522491519955, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "390230", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156270960.25475737, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.401308080429447, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0035618641329498, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "040510", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 561098706.0405259, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3363838032894297, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "080222", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: hazelnuts or filberts (corylus spp.), fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92599272.22626029, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9022482131764985, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "080930", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: peaches, including nectarines, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 377927913.80532676, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5737116500271535, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250622785.01444378, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7486957543687562, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 197997554.64255, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.519511542110536, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3576245578034156, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 279003038.63219565, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.922157056463796, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "distance_km": 1932, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 1, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "importer_population": 143446.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.041940638773947, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.425769714942529 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-RUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-RUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-RUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-RUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-RUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }