{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.814Z", "seo": { "title": "Azerbaijan exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Azerbaijan to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "AZE", "country_name": "Azerbaijan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 929834.6440289519, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 896842.1020188143, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 929834.6440289519, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.808716111977355, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 89.4063134706308, "product_concentration_hhi": 5685.254663621352, "top1_product_share_pct": 70.82225797258153, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.99999999999999, "top_product_hs6": "310210", "top_product_trade_usd": 658529.8903126194, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 2188.73828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 79554.72354989104, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 23954, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.88990856717922, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 176871.09306079338, "yoy_growth_pct": 638.3781124688711, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 19991.796835770554, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.69696766735136, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.895264185602564 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 147294.3866222798, "yoy_growth_pct": 636.774127069617, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.20446347753865 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 330297.9996851757, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.2434401333898, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.144880397099456 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2430653.0288872654, "yoy_growth_pct": 635.8969873278215, "cagr_3y_pct": 395.4011909418692 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1988862.9175816528, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.17577852762724, "cagr_3y_pct": 138.12567169265577 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16916.105440285723, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.1494584523274, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.86374146069491 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 85046.20972863596, "yoy_growth_pct": 402.7528944463678, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.29275243559452 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 819668.3762052779, "yoy_growth_pct": 863.7917772240081, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.582037289132632 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3783659.1078375643, "yoy_growth_pct": 361.6085257984851, "cagr_3y_pct": 507.0212191401539 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1216574.2370490967, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.84662142186502, "cagr_3y_pct": 142.7511060757444 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 94397.24845547341, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.24073257671131, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.34728820779486 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 66442.53594012446, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.61390609656913, "cagr_3y_pct": -74.00769868665412 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 80825.27000259145, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.646877047902223, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.49864843383885 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4876.427865041429, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.96670389732682, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.75675709040198 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5845.518492506031, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.872961402995525, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.52401112561203 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 66403.80022497383, "yoy_growth_pct": 1035.9779343800496, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.341199787591256 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 140616.7992975652, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.7601685764372, "cagr_3y_pct": 206.6515291593079 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 235485.68613561633, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.46625389850828, "cagr_3y_pct": 242.80500841963666 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1388758.9659847952, "yoy_growth_pct": 489.74241227766527, "cagr_3y_pct": 175.51461861293606 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2953962.326292798, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.705184891324, "cagr_3y_pct": 175.92385430567523 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1482039.9206761096, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.828746714719976, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.62838156477414 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 825240.3483166276, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.31726589792863, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.92803608409923 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2153561.3052010657, "yoy_growth_pct": 160.96170765208257, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.99828970738773 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2629713.9894306753, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.110012985451277, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.064330556854504 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 14655368.109317549, "yoy_growth_pct": 457.29893700304603, "cagr_3y_pct": 160.89880660351366 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4954587.523601224, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.19267775026947, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.01301659990741 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1043152.0459128594, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.94573380843926, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.52385444443912 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38063537.665059656, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.98260071500444, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.906780046704143, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "780110", "hs_description": "Lead: unwrought, refined", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86866271.11719283, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.82662505786394, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5859922757798534, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "410221", "hs_description": "Skins: raw, of sheep or lambs, pickled (but not tanned, parchment-dressed or further preserved), without wool on", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13465221.536804253, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.299976412410714, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4601457541126283, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AZE", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 2346, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }