{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.788Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Azerbaijan exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Azerbaijan to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "AZE",
    "country_name": "Azerbaijan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2482004.0680835815,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 904742.0031318893,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2394595.451508539,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2308353.960154491,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8102667528368837,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 71.70502131633968,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3080.1847077301504,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 36.59348656915235,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.00363322679118,
    "top_product_hs6": "270799",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 908251.8252999802,
    "top_product_description": "Oils and other products of the distillation of high temperature coal tar: n.e.s. in heading no. 2707",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 2748.73291015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.049799997359514236,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6672792464980843,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0012146886590036,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9188556595249044,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 325112.7486775669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 263403.6695245218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.980824161480527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 862181.9814865588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 227.32345112841838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 126951.8947105209,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.27551057241621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.908244010953652
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 367392.06339654746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 189.39470673855214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.729875911531206
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 605749.1261530482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.87811972661703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.100779835739626
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 396163.81101439195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.59935905639302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.13195842330442
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 83551.77765293348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.90979051342522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.96082692571533
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 190634.3495331895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.1631281683405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.98007946978879
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 145836.9781258751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.499107855961277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.331064823610998
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1062825.604349356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 628.776485914298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 133.4365044422217
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 5476873.280450866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 415.3125082833995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 206.27426896102256
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 487859.62687486876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.09236964425975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.55780211153231
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 864193.1404542688,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.13971250093337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.663910322419286
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 439632.77645217057,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.12794884936547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.86274984713891
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 425306.27083329455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2587437484736026,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.470911124621335
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1004431.9500796098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 136.16673888011226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.14046691615202
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 875759.0208399423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.810517350575024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.824395338317395
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1017283.2328419727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.16017747282743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.73549825749078
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 226118.59275739608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.77230711591588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.16709095004079
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 252930.01898899282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.85724088614104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.89942271657982
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 764315.1371675727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 202.18443039014468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.090306934656113
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1561636.7340252723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.31843595463035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 90.43550156439106
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2036145.6820667048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.385360289158857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.41773837885017
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2809853.515537254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.9986481461007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.33712512636115
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2831594.3040935146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7737338774439051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.94116445797225
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 4069550.705410637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.719412753707765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.963834349166692
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 3818321.994804655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.173377082437204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.763402913563013
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 7704419.609385824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.77501059022083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.605640654647935
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 6006731.948504413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.03524401517828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.858099218394205
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "270799",
      "hs_description": "Oils and other products of the distillation of high temperature coal tar: n.e.s. in heading no. 2707",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 272039202.3856454,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.99472940829942,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5624356643715208,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "720421",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of stainless steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41301235.09077317,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.33384888322449,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0551742561131345,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "270750",
      "hs_description": "Aromatic hydrocarbon mixtures: n.e.c. in heading no. 2707, of which 65% or more by volume (including losses) distils at 250 degrees Celsius by the ISO 3405 method (equivalent to the ASTM D 86 method)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69899228.09537052,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.01923656255715,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.905344226700351,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50140014.13640556,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.55418339852411,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9846014459633875,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "220210",
      "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29710071.86175484,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.09793499674094,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46514799541105906,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "700529",
      "hs_description": "Glass: float glass and surface ground or polished glass, in sheets, non-wired, (other than coloured throughout the mass (body tinted), opacified, flashed or merely surface ground)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18892505.529164623,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.12203253623841,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.32001733811739524,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "481920",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of non-corrugated paper or paperboard",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11396814.002356112,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "AZE",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "distance_km": 2751,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "importer_population": 1329.254,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6672792464980843,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0012146886590036,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9188556595249044
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-EST/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-EST/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-EST/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-EST/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AZE-EST/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}