{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.858Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Australia exports to Turkmenistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Australia to Turkmenistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "AUS",
    "country_name": "Australia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TKM",
    "country_name": "Turkmenistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
    "importer_iso3": "TKM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 9,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 48348.30999999998,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 48348.30999999998,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 48348.30999999998,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 48348.30999999998,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1949306771221389,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 38.20828434129137,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "843143",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 48348.30999999998,
    "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12465.728515625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 45231.428571000004,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7612,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6117.933,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.7170849124341885,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.711998715992592,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.952144074214579,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.456,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.25600000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 45231.428571000004,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7612,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6117.933
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 3185252.8663304695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 1830.179285559059,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.94254210380265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 5606.284721618322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 206.32434569959565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 79318.42748035864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1314.812686457038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -70.79817055440664
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 99363.12267803757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.27117069062235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 278.6551477299607
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 144262.82504490894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.18749125101282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 195.2295066649543
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 135710.1211303684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.928557070664652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.60409452140204
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 303786.3554209594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 123.84944681401504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.13795871339785
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 238661.9052082672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.437582383332742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.270443005992387
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 462464.0333228797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.77371219730799,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.48339298432203
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 665788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.96535774170467,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.894042591857794
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 267858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.76827458590422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.921922619967755
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 3016925.9999999995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1026.3154357906053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.85105964251835
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 1206813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.99858796669192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.927407276220624
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 380018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.51061432052855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.365550044350314
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 560873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.591166734207334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.92665956528435
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 929268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.68242721614341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.342712464819012
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 846893.5,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.864450298514527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.619558216434317
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 563978.2046286416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.406242387190176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.18420638666960532
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 981767.9999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.07906758497114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8488110233700006
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 843748.0280000002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.058308276497067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.12395790361193759
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 383581.3919999995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.53839543670027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.05758181609291
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 37098.89399999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.32828631061435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.44293029637267
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 33596.103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.441766646736127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.85251593116439
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 2277.227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.22175253481036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -81.89287090767479
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 26498.538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1063.6318206309693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.61040212073554
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 98354.95499999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 271.1712510327928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.054803996890236
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "export_value_usd": 117332.00799999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.29445547506987,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 272.1089018085892
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "TKM",
      "hs_code": "843143",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46993861.2093211,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.20828434129137,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1949306771221389,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
    "importer_iso3": "TKM",
    "distance_km": 12202,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292,
    "importer_population": 6117.933,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.7222813899616853,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-TKM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-TKM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-TKM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-TKM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-TKM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}