{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.444Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Australia exports to New Caledonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Australia to New Caledonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "AUS",
    "country_name": "Australia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NCL",
    "country_name": "New Caledonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
    "importer_iso3": "NCL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 17,
    "current_lane_count": 15,
    "current_product_count": 15,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2019,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 69348798.91,
    "attention_trade_usd": 66333222.473,
    "critical_trade_usd": 55997010.446,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 56966807.656,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 59852695.271000005,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 69336326.61,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 69348798.91,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.144029835147633,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 70.6333389296324,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4224.684338005841,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 61.48137955688785,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 87.74317892508688,
    "top_product_hs6": "270112",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 42636598.276,
    "top_product_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270112",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 1976.5965576171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 9435.529927,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34695,
    "buyer_population_latest": 272.62,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0373796350958373,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.6497579926365367,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290465692878167,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.65158087177028,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 80.7469074102815,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 9435.529927,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 34695,
    "buyer_population_2024": 272.62
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 140935850.47226706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 155680855.07478333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.462209972201308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 138323109.3643341,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.149569869789833,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 138645685.13243654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.23320453797259777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5446173748422378
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 131281332.09928796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.311635213251709,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.52376258799131
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 166862108.7591511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.10269319399763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.452123294634804
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 152877607.70803115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.380872778795567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3108274481537414
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 132763678.93943495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.156883516263685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3749713963515866
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 137807997.76653913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7994720147860095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.177810221459524
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 150024690.40241414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.865009893381771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6259582806621755
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 191009353.39421052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.318611944382234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.890774351669364
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 197123905.24519035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2011792838021025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.673458167914875
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 262968179.58899072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.40248066915106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.572098661496007
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 305155239.08090484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.042648033633157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.90203340535925
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 241231753.8765753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.94785768609456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9625447399386475
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 307326487.9603267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.398853186454186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.333277496091848
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 341525163.26793325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.127799472989564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8246858443326426
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 330008304.47421616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.372184551063928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.010348179292029
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 269477688.7619421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.342149240369608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.286262848893918
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 281988095.19043577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.642464645577915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.185632382033623
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 225173269.1480314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.147951992099333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.963252732789954
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 234117011.0127497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9719376543041474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.580591737580752
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 259391382.05279773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.795614949428689,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7458244890541827
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 292633943.7154995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.815599886019125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.127939635359228
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 307682759.21015954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.142539277429337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.535962870006909
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 265693680.27270526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.646874152208854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8034107810895197
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 294404285.2594199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.805904362213802,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.20125069022456366
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 610999218.7425799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.5374746003396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.69340687693593
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 388351012.7887173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.44001483538173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.48742424244318
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 194662511.99763772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.87459654095353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.881030016938212
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "270112",
      "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42636598.276,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.6770910443197,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3396156408470183,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16937666.645999998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.336647996804366,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.135304330592144,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14346138.798227277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.22922965406866896,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18743685.65792763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.3664270939086,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7329167586950506,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "230910",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10227956.003,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.7881248341948583,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.632289292778815,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19945918.184418604,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5641597783469425,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10293886.434990726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.306359934911853,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.37645030754423714,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 267477150.36871594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.6807997088613,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5912176899061392,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78885640.53222954,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.78319286112007,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35748519822018476,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "040690",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13722620.404000001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.03830048920231,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.54823942816304,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
    "importer_iso3": "NCL",
    "distance_km": 2683,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484,
    "importer_population": 272.62,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-NCL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-NCL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-NCL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-NCL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-NCL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}