{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.275Z", "seo": { "title": "Australia exports to China, Macao SAR: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Australia to China, Macao SAR, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "Australia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MAC", "country_name": "China, Macao SAR" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "all_history_lane_count": 61, "current_lane_count": 52, "current_product_count": 52, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 178190874.07151234, "attention_trade_usd": 165767847.0551913, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 139791095.4532645, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5547981.361350724, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 161005533.54288813, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 178190874.07151234, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 39, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 27, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 32, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8170750784322938, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.52434433649441, "product_concentration_hhi": 4890.803009953383, "top1_product_share_pct": 67.71758929726555, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.95161846696263, "top_product_hs6": "220421", "top_product_trade_usd": 120666564.26895437, "top_product_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "top_attention_product_hs6": "220421", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7411.16259765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 29905.190182, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 45422, "buyer_population_latest": 658.391, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.10707901944438, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.538342143523442, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.44249516534402566, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.368000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 55.720000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.02824733250067, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 29905.190182, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 45422, "buyer_population_2024": 658.391 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 8429452.50632504, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 12448561.011643857, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.67935405416992, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 10431585.212191101, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.202481536349154, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 11746775.547125481, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.607770613783176, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.69655213899845 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 15251470.9259859, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.835382184671456, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.0033873992334295 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 22431552.72834073, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.077962756505, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.073278754511534 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 25135696.102121565, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.055087788748287, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.861766971350523 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 27047991.753131825, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.607888173221733, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.043395520893228 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 34958212.78520922, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.245132519539062, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.939109829726261 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 40895126.03908605, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.98288551063665, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.614322532300886 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 38140788.56999483, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.735124049889773, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.13767502535732 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 59974145.354007065, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.24411477215347, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.71216417625634 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 75721270.0380119, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.256522024707294, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.79540415877277 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 47154470.53020407, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.72625511097127, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.327513568514998 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 64426689.40775584, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.62901668355774, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.415867788987902 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 47901017.2302005, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.650351320963484, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.156197069124998 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 69680103.61278795, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.46685569937381, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.90128884201527 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 60076735.13428066, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.7820812263328, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3032381877572616 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 56845361.88177558, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.378743111260064, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.872564549843173 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 60054629.21910497, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.645609828298537, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.834565666364032 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 31512137.594733477, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.527546161739295, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.352573437898535 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 92597613.80778906, "yoy_growth_pct": 193.84745331673278, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.661646093968898 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 87976990.01487152, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.990003092853845, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.572766048888907 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 99978169.82601169, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.64127121092855, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.94081335053153 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 90239486.48184963, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.740809779884884, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8561894864083763 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 70345939.215531, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.04527977929033, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.18390106086254 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 97700208.66600466, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.885356788916624, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7653285187692815 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 181113636.5541757, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.37691886956556, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.139618117533516 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 253370766.15759638, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.896018311026914, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.287176269622385 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 209179312.88039058, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.441417550799354, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.88659397126261 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 223594381.5510733, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.84126451765629, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2222799522958785, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "950430", "hs_description": "Games n.e.c. in heading 9504, operated by coins, banknotes, bank cards, tokens or by other means of payment, other than bowling alley equipment", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53408725.532707706, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.493295948938947, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7357660428667004, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 653769559.3963588, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.689652685580082, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.277049676685065, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 326415562.01140034, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.719704918165505, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6950668383216695, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94112974.97943966, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.04458640857069, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2461344378434214, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "950490", "hs_description": "Games: articles for funfair, table or parlour games, including pintables, tables for casino games, bowling alley equipment, n.e.s. in heading no. 9504", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33417351.357276753, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.13041626791161, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1313678833946215, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "220890", "hs_description": "Spirits, liqueurs and other spirituous beverages: n.e.c. in heading no. 2208", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 224755905.24612722, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.687455924756046, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3701778504066184, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "030819", "hs_description": "Aquatic invertebrates: sea cucumbers (Stichopus japonicus, Holothuroidea), dried, salted or in brine, smoked, whether or not cooked before or during the smoking process", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56501618.08094454, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.738388120060315, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3022901635707729, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "010392", "hs_description": "Swine: live, (other than pure-bred breeding animals), weighing 50kg or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39919412.135956146, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3999484297082678, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "040120", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content exceeding 1% but not exceeding 6% (by weight)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15899224.14121468, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.68868579568532, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6750766382196285, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "AUS", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "distance_km": 7412, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 29905.190182, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 45421.62663523651, "importer_population": 658.391, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-MAC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-MAC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-MAC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-MAC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-MAC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }