{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.492Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Australia exports to Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Australia to Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "AUS",
    "country_name": "Australia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 73,
    "current_lane_count": 20,
    "current_product_count": 20,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 12873257.066399999,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3639987.285999999,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6627708.918999999,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1261839.0829999999,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8243600.698399999,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 12873257.066399999,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 14,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 18,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 20,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2691015535523065,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.61827035213108,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1889.3573636942033,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 35.77990778279453,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.05548145638015,
    "top_product_hs6": "843041",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4606039.507,
    "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "940690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 17008.55859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1174,
    "buyer_population_latest": 13497.237,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.219127345977322,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.446275515189551,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5105888069592686,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.078,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.53,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 28.275573673585626,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1174,
    "buyer_population_2024": 13497.237
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 615090.4844445514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 884401.6272883881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.78398782856059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 3023383.2786246384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 241.85636766572406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 3779236.8035777495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.000254856769423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.15623139040136
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 7847920.759286329,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.65887842372868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.03083104443127
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 4176627.726824551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.780454913711914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.37238503245326
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 8267120.59874925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.93769374400674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.8125623861198
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 8888215.54470442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.512832775768841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.236540591743099
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 8950655.520975059,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7025029485006051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.926747088048053
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 11213100.969845705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.276868756358773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.693933394334554
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 6527308.280358115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.78855342593126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.779232860036801
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 12390997.832502536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.83319463842936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.450959737460153
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 26470050.306058556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.62323409197592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.15056428041638
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 55426184.697910845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.39206407637508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 104.01414832622602
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 8127843.029363631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.33573423164017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.112691925798913
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 16512913.527707191,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.16476915278305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.554411231079978
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 23827965.574638713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.29897870328892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.527165695377107
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 15247488.215736913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.01011312537076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.33159068919366
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 6794094.032092393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.441224574417326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.62346380265795
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 4912391.633576215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.69614888501426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.925234500638275
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 2776015.9753080765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.48952236759796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.32286550595836
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 3975351.5839564367,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.20348367286542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.359876849256793
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 4927229.883844898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.94450603388172,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1005846464475324
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 8621095.184078144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.96839780795426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.89715605146949
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 3821976.9629999977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.66715270632193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.302949638839157
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 5344789.204000002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.84357456212133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7486013459114833
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 4917607.095664427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.992496841893693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.066410602063264
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 10298729.133676283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.42561968311955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.154906434988156
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 14972886.49899999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.38576852205451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.9694429649458
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 20007542.63139999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.625153925639204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.64180936622117
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "843041",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15881383.849878455,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.83447514626559,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9093457484199663,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "940690",
      "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31456622.72437267,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.996009600358432,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "842951",
      "hs_description": "Front-end shovel loaders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32187103.77975235,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.87957530553856,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9700204212223139,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "870410",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44485186.472228155,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2715288731071737,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36998126.838594906,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.524708751550667,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3423133706044676,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "847420",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36803725.442989804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2375785195396678,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "847410",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for sorting, screening, separating or washing earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17272300.591916386,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.07720725960793,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6307347636029927,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57983955.00067367,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.98422333663525,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.196015295578468,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12013141.48087591,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.61659003106553,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5855321029441294,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29429566.788004793,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.944683074859974,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4083780645317709,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "AUS",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "distance_km": 16220,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "importer_population": 13497.237,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-GIN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-GIN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-GIN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-GIN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/AUS-GIN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}